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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Dallas Mavericks - 1/21/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Dallas Mavericks at Milwaukee Bucks
Date & Time Monday January 21, 2019, 2:00 PM (EST)
Location
Fiserv Forum
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
The Line
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks -11.5 -- Over/Under: 227.5
TV Channel
FSWI
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Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Mavericks and Milwaukee Bucks meet Monday in NBA action at the Fiserv Forum.

The Dallas Mavericks could use a win here after losing six of their last eight games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 109.6 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 109.6 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 20 points and 5.1 assists while Harrison Barnes is averaging 18.1 points and 4.2 rebounds. Wesley Matthews is the third double-digit scorer and DeAndre Jordan is grabbing 13.9 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46 rebounds per game. The Dallas Mavericks have lost 12 of their last 14 road games.

The Milwaukee Bucks look to keep the ball rolling after winning 11 of their last 13 games. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 117.6 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 107.6 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 26.4 points and 12.5 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 17.4 points and 4.1 assists. Eric Bledsoe is the third double-digit scorer and Malcolm Brogdon is dishing 3.4 assists. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 76.3 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49 rebounds per game. The Milwaukee Bucks have won eight of their last nine home games.

The Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference and 33-15 ATS in their last 48 games following a ATS loss. The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 Monday games and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Mavericks are 3-1-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee and 8-1-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The under is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 overall. The under is 7-2 in Mavericks last 9 overall.

The Dallas Mavericks have been a money printing machine in the underdog role this season and this is a great deal of points to pass up. The problem is the Mavs aren't the same team on the road both SU and ATS, and they're playing one of the most consistent and balanced teams in the league. The Milwaukee Bucks are winning by an average of 14 points in their last five games and are outscoring teams by an average of 14.7 points at home this season. The Bucks are also 6-2 ATS this season as a double-digit favorite. The Bucks have been so consistent and so good ATS recently that it's to the point you just blindly back them until the tickets stop cashing.

Pick:
Milwaukee Bucks -11.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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