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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers - 3/7/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks
Date & Time Thursday March 7, 2019, 8:00 PM (EST)
Location
Fiserv Forum
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
The Line
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks -10.5 -- Over/Under: 222.5
TV Channel
TNT, FSWI
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Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

The Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks meet Thursday in NBA action at the Fiserv Forum.

The Indiana Pacers look for a statement victory after splitting their last eight games. The Indiana Pacers are averaging 108.7 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 103.7 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Bojan Bogdanovic is averaging 17.7 points and 1.8 assists while Domantas Sabonis is averaging 14.3 points and 9.3 rebounds. Wesley Matthews is the third double-digit scorer and Myles Turner is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc and 76 percent from the free throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.1 rebounds per game. The Indiana Pacers have lost five of their last eight road games.

The Milwaukee Bucks look for a bounce back win to rebound from back-to-back losses. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 117.3 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 108.2 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 27 points and 12.6 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 17.4 points and 4.3 assists. Malcolm Brogdon is the third double-digit scorer and Eric Bledsoe is dishing 5.5 assists. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 77.1 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.2 rebounds per game. The Milwaukee Bucks have won 13 of their last 15 home games.

The Pacers are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 Thursday games, 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. The Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Pacers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee and the home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 home games. The over is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 overall.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been one of those teams this season that you can blindly back and make a good profit, as they're 37-24-3 ATS on the year, 17-12-1 ATS at home and 13-9 ATS when favored by nine or more points. The Bucks are also winning at home this season by an average of 12.8 points and shooting 48.3 percent from the field. With that said, the Indiana Pacers continue to play good basketball and seem to be the forgotten team in the East, even though they're still the third seed. Even with their success, this is the biggest underdog the Pacers have been this season. The trends ma suggest backing the Bucks, but I can't leave this many points on the table with the Pacers.

Pick:
Indiana Pacers +10.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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