Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat - 3/22/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks
Friday, March 22, 2019 at 7:30 PM (Fiserv Forum)
The Line: Milwaukee -10 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Miami Heat and the Milwaukee Bucks duke it out at the Fiserv Forum on Friday night.
The Miami Heat have been playing some of their best basketball of the season as they’ve won eight of their last 10 games and they will be aiming for a fourth straight victory after taking down the red-hot Spurs in a 110-105 road win on Wednesday. Goran Dragic led the team with 22 points off the bench, Dion Waiters added 18 points with four assists while Josh Richardson chipped in with 15 points and four assists. As a team, the Heat shot 46 percent from the field and 16 of 35 from the 3-point line as they held off a late charge from the Spurs after dominating the early proceedings to lead by 15 points at halftime. With the win, Miami improved to 35-36 on the season and 18-16 on the road which is still good for eighth place in the Eastern Conference standings.
Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks have been in decent form by their standards as they’ve won five of their last eight games, but they will be looking to bounce back after falling short against the lowly Cavaliers in a 107-102 road loss on Wednesday. Khris Middleton led the team with 26 points and 12 rebounds, Eric Bledsoe added 24 points with eight rebounds and eight assists while Brook Lopez chipped in with 19 points. As a team, the Bucks shot just 39 percent from the field and 13 of 32 from the 3-point line as they recovered from a slow start to level the scores going into the fourth quarter only to fall short as the Cavaliers stole the game behind Collin Sexton who finished with 25 points. With the loss, Milwaukee fell to 53-19 overall and 25-13 on the road.
Looking at the betting trends, the Heat are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 road games, 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Bucks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a loss, 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games against a team with a losing record and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 Friday games.
Head to head, the under is 18-7-2 in the last 27 meetings overall, the home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the Heat are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.
Giannis Antetokounmpo sat out the game with right ankle soreness but is currently listed as probable for Friday which is obviously a major boost for the Bucks who are so reliant on his play. The Heat needed to start winning games to sneak into the playoffs and it looks like they’re peaking at the right time as the Spurs found out on Wednesday. The Bucks easily dismantled the Heat in the last two meetings by double-digits so I’m tempted to go with the Bucks, but this just seems like too many free points to be giving the Heat in this one.