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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Toronto Raptors - 5/23/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Toronto Raptors at Milwaukee Bucks
Date & Time Thursday May 23, 2019, 8:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Fiserv Forum
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
The Line
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks -7 -- Over/Under: 216.5
TV Channel
TNT
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Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Raptors and Milwaukee Bucks meet Thursday in game five of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at the Fiserv Forum.

The Toronto Raptors look for a third straight victory to take a 3-2 series lead. The Toronto Raptors are averaging 105.3 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 99.9 points on 41.5 percent shooting. Kawhi Leonard is averaging 31.2 points and 8.4 rebounds while Pascal Siakam is averaging 19 points and 6.8 rebounds. Kyle Lowry is the third double-digit scorer and Marc Gasol is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 33.4 percent from beyond the arc and 82.4 percent from the free throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game. The Toronto Raptors have lost four of their last five road games.

The Milwaukee Bucks look to keep the trend going of the home team winning every game of this series. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 115.3 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 104.2 points on 40.4 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 26 points and 12.8 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 18 points and 6.2 rebounds. Eric Bledsoe is the third double-digit scorer and Malcolm Brogdon is dishing 3.2 assists. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 73 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 52.6 rebounds per game. The Milwaukee Bucks have won their last four home games.

The Raptors are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 1 days rest and 41-20-2 ATS in their last 63 games overall. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The over is 14-6 in Bucks last 20 overall. The over is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 overall.

The Toronto Raptors have covered seven of their last 11 games as an underdog. The Milwaukee Bucks have covered eight of their last 10 games when a favorite.

The home team has won and covered all four games in this series, but the underdog has thrived when these teams play overall. This is a lot of points to lay in a series where both teams are evenly matched, but it's tough seeing the Raptors hang around on the road with Kawhi banged up. The Toronto Raptors get consistent play from their role players, but those guys haven't been able to play with that energy on the road, and not being able to rely on Kawhi like they have in previous games is a major blow. The Milwaukee Bucks have been a covering machine at home all season long and they're 6-1 SU at home these playoffs with all of those wins coming by eight or more points. I'm going to eat the chalk. 

Pick:
Milwaukee Bucks -7

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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