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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - 3/5/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves
Date & Time Tuesday March 5, 2019, 8:00 PM (EST)
Location
Target Center
Minneapolis , MN
The Line
The Line: Minnesota -1.5
TV Channel
FSN, FSOK
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NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves
Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports

The Oklahoma City Thunder pay a visit to the Minnesota Timberwolves at the Target Center on Tuesday night.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have really fallen off the pace with five losses in their last seven games as they’ve struggled in the absence of Paul George, but they will be looking to get back on track after snapping a four-game skid with a 99-95 home win over the Grizzlies. Russell Westbrook had a quiet game by his standards as he finished with just 22 points, six rebounds and five assists, Dennis Schroder added 17 points with 12 rebounds and six assists in a rare start while Steve Adams chipped in with 13 points and 22 rebounds. As a team, the Thunder shot just 35 percent from the field and nine of 30 from the 3-point line and they trailed by as many as 13 points midway through the fourth quarter before the Thunder turned the momentum of the game with a ferocious 20-4 run led by Westbrook. With the much-needed win, Oklahoma City improved to 39-24 overall and 22-9 at home.  

Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been in a funk as they’ve lost four of their last five games and they will be hoping to snap a three-game skid after falling to the Wizards in a 135-121 road loss on Sunday. Karl-Anthony Towns led the team with 28 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists, Derrick Rose added 18 points while Andrew Wiggins and Taj Gibson each scored 14 points. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 52 percent from the field and a miserable four of 27 from the 3-point line, but the problem is their defense as they’re allowing an average of 129.3 points over their last three games and you just knew it was going to be a rough night when they allowed 40 points to the Wizards in the first quarter. With the loss, Minnesota fell to 29-34 overall and 9-24 on the road.

Looking at the betting trends, the Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games, 0-6 ATS in their last six against the Western Conference and 0-7 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Timberwolves are 4-0 ATS in their last four against the Western Conference, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against a team with a winning road record.

Head to head, the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings, the Thunder are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Minnesota and the Thunder are 0-6 ATS in the last six meetings overall.

Paul George has missed the last three games with a shoulder injury and I wouldn’t be surprised if he sat out here which is such a shame for the Thunder who rely so heavily on him with Westbrook still struggling with his shot. However, the Timberwolves have leaked points like a sieve, so they’re only slight favorites despite being 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings overall. This is a tough one to pick, but the Thunder are by far a lesser team without George and I think the Timberwolves should be able to take advantage in this one.

Pick:
Minnesota -1.5

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