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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - 4/7/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves
Date & Time Sunday April 7, 2019, 3:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Target Center
Minneapolis, MN
The Line
The Line: Minnesota +6 -- Over/Under 230
TV Channel
ABC, FSN
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Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

The Oklahoma City Thunder invade the Target Center to battle the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday afternoon.

The Oklahoma City Thunder haven’t been at their best lately as they’ve lost seven of their last 11 games, but they will be gunning for a third straight win after beating the Pistons by 123-110 at home on Friday. Paul George led the way with 30 points, eight rebounds and four assists, Jerami Grant added 19 points while Russell Westbrook racked up 19 points with eight rebounds and 15 assists. As a team, the Thunder shot 47 percent from the field and 12 of 29 from the 3-point line as they poured in 97 points in the first three quarters, but the difference between the teams was the Thunder’s defense in the fourth quarter where they outscored the Pistons by 26-14 to run away with it late. With the much-needed win, Oklahoma City improved to 46-33 overall and 26-14 at home which is currently good for seventh place in the Western Conference.

Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been in a bit of a rut as they’ve lost eight of their last 12 games, but they will be aiming for a third straight win after sneaking past the Heat in a hard-fought 111-109 home win on Friday. Dario Saric and Gorgui Dieng each scored 19 points, Andrew Wiggins added 18 points while Karl-Anthony Towns chipped in with 13 points, 12 rebounds and four assists. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 50 percent from the field and eight of 24 from the 3-point line as they leaked 69 points in the first half, before ramping up their defense in the second half where they outscored the Heat by 50-40 to steal the game late as the Heat’s Dwyane Wade just missed on the potential game winner with time expiring. With the hard-fought win, Minnesota improved to 36-43 overall and 25-14 at home.

Looking at the betting trends, the Thunder are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against a team with a losing record and 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games overall. The Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record, 1-4 ATS in their last five Sunday games and 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall.

Head to head, the over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings, the Thunder are 0-7 ATS in the last seven meetings overall and the Thunder are 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings in Minnesota.

The Thunder have been in a rut lately, but they just beat the Pistons by double-digits and they will be hoping to finish the regular season strong to catch the Clippers who are currently in sixth place in the Western Conference. The Timberwolves have nothing to play for at this stage of the season, but that hasn’t stopped them from playing the role of spoiler as they will be looking for another upset after beating the Heat on Friday. A win here would clearly mean more for the Thunder, but they are just 0-7 ATS in the last seven meetings overall and they’ve lost all three meetings against the Timberwolves this season. I think the Thunder get the win, but I'm looking at the Timberwolves to get the cover.

Pick:
Minnesota +6
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