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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Dallas Mavericks - 12/5/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Dallas Mavericks (12-10) at New Orleans Pelicans (12-13)
Date & Time Wednesday December 5, 2018, 8:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: New Orleans Pelicans -5.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
FSNO, FSSW
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NBA | Dallas Mavericks (12-10) at New Orleans Pelicans (12-13)
Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Mavericks and New Orleans Pelicans meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Smoothie King Center.

The Dallas Mavericks look to keep the ball rolling after winning nine of their last 11 games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 110.8 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 108.9 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 18.5 points and 4.3 assists while Harrison Barnes is averaging 18.3 points and 4.8 rebounds. Wesley Matthews is the third double-digit scorer and Dennis Smith Jr. is dishing 3.9 assists. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 75.4 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.2 rebounds per game. The Dallas Mavericks have lost eight of their last 10 road games.

The New Orleans Pelicans could use a feel good victory after losing six of their last eight games. The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 118.1 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 116.7 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 28 points and 13 rebounds while Jrue Holiday is averaging 20.6 points and nine assists. Nikola Mirotic is the third double-digit scorer and Julius Randle is grabbing nine rebounds. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48 rebounds per game. The New Orleans Pelicans have won six of their last eight home games.

The Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest, 10-3 ATS in their last 13 Wednesday games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 overall. The over is 35-16 in Pelicans last 51 home games.

The Dallas Mavericks obviously haven't been the same team on the road as they are at home, and they're on the end of a back to back. However, we're getting free points with the team that's played better basketball. While I'm not ready to say the Mavs are better than the Pelicans overall, they're a much more confident bunch right now and have been covering games left and right in this underdog role. From a value perspective, the points and the Mavericks has to be the play. 

Pick:
Dallas Mavericks +5.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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