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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets - 3/29/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder
Date & Time Friday March 29, 2019, 8:05 PM (EDT)
Chesapeake Energy Arena
Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
The Line
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -5 -- Over/Under: 221
TV Channel
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Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Friday in NBA action at the Chesapeake Energy Arena.

The Denver Nuggets look for a win after winning eight of their last 11 games. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 111.5 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 106.8 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 20.3 points and 10.8 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 18.1 points and 4.8 assists. Gary Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have split their last six road games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder could use a win here after losing five of their last seven games. The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 114.2 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 110.9 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Paul George is averaging 28.2 points and 8.1 rebounds while Russell Westbrook is averaging 22.9 points and 10.4 assists. Dennis Schroder is the third double-digit scorer and Steven Adams is grabbing 9.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 71.3 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.9 rebounds per game. The Oklahoma City Thunder have split their last six home games.

The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest, 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Northwest and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Thunder are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games, 2-10 ATS in their last 12 vs. Western Conference and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games overall. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma City and 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The over is 3-1-1 in Thunder last 5 overall. The under is 19-7 in Nuggets last 26 overall.

The Denver Nuggets have won each of the last five games against the Thunder and seven of the last eight games overall. The problem is the Nuggets aren't nearly the same team on the road as they are at home, and they're on the end of a back to back here. The Oklahoma City Thunder have really struggled the last couple of weeks and are shooting under 43 percent from the field in their last five games. The good news is the Thunder are winning at home by an average of 5.1 points and may have gotten a much needed shot in the arm with a solid performance against the Indiana Pacers. I just don't trust the Nuggets on the road and I know these OKC struggles won't continue. I'll lay the reasonable chalk with OKC at home.

Oklahoma City Thunder -5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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