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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Miami Heat - 3/18/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder
Date & Time Monday March 18, 2019, 8:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Chesapeake Energy Arena
Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
The Line
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 -- Over/Under: 213.5
TV Channel
FSS, FSOK
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Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Heat and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Monday in NBA action at the Chesapeake Energy Arena.

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The Miami Heat look for another victory after winning six of their last eight games. The Miami Heat are averaging 105.9 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 106.2 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Josh Richardson is averaging 17.1 points and four assists while Goran Dragic is averaging 14.2 points and four assists. Dwyane Wade is the third double-digit scorer and Hassan Whiteside is grabbing 12.1 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 69 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.1 rebounds per game. The Miami Heat have lost five of their last seven road games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder need a win here after losing eight of their last 12 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 114.6 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 110.8 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Paul George is averaging 28.3 points and 8.2 rebounds while Russell Westbrook is averaging 22.9 points and 10.5 assists. Dennis Schroder is the third double-digit scorer and Steven Adams is grabbing 9.6 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 71.4 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.2 rebounds per game. The Oklahoma City Thunder have split their last six home games.

The Heat are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games, 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 0 days rest and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest. The Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Heat are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma City and 0-5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The over is 14-4 in Heat last 18 games playing on 0 days rest. The under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 overall.

The Thunder have won each of the last six meetings against the Heat and are 5-0-1 ATS in those games. The Heat are playing their best ball of the season as they make a playoff push, but a lot of their recent wins have come against bottom feeders in the East, so it's hard to really judge just how good this recent stretch actually is. The Thunder need to stop the bleeding quickly to avoid falling any further in the West standings, and despite the recent struggles, they're still winning at home by an average of 5.8 points. I'll eat the reasonable chalk with OKC, as I need to see the Heat win games on the road against good teams before trusting them. 

Update: The Heat and the points has to be the pick considering Westbrook has now been suspended for this contest. 

Pick:
Miami Heat +3.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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