Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors - 4/27/19 NBA Game 1 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors
Saturday, April 27, 2019 at 6:30 PM (Scotiabank Arena)
The Line: Toronto Raptors -6.5 -- Over/Under: 222.5
The Philadelphia 76ers and Toronto Raptors meet Saturday in game one of the NBA playoffs second round at the Scotiabank Arena.
The Philadelphia 76ers haven’t played since Tuesday and are coming off a five-game series against the Brooklyn Nets. The Philadelphia 76ers are averaging 122.4 points on 49.4 percent shooting and allowing 111.4 points on 42 percent shooting. Joel Embiid is averaging 24.8 points and 13.5 rebounds while Tobias Harris is averaging 17.6 points and nine rebounds. Ben Simmons is the third double-digit scorer and Jimmy Butler is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Philadelphia 76ers are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free throw line. The Philadelphia 76ers are allowing 32.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 53 rebounds per game. The Philadelphia 76ers have split their last 10 road games.
The Toronto Raptors haven’t played since Tuesday and are coming off a five-game series against the Orlando Magic. The Toronto Raptors are averaging 106.4 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 92 points on 38.8 percent shooting. Kawhi Leonard is averaging 27.8 points and 6.6 rebounds while Pascal Siakam is averaging 22.6 points and 8.4 rebounds. Kyle Lowry is the third double-digit scorer and Serge Ibaka is grabbing 7.2 rebounds. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 85 percent from the free throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 29.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game. The Toronto Raptors have won seven of their last 10 home games.
The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 Conference Semifinals games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The 76ers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Toronto and 4-13 ATS in the last 17 meetings. The under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 overall. The over is 13-6 in 76ers last 19 overall.
The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings between the 76ers and Raptors, and the home team has covered seven of those eight wins. The Philadelphia 76ers have split their last 10 games ATS as a road underdog and are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of five or more points. The Toronto Raptors have split their last 12 games ATS as a home favorite and are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite of five or more points. While the numbers and trends may suggest a Raptors win, I don't like giving up this many points in playoff games that are usually evenly matched. You can even argue the 76ers are more talented and are more than capable of winning this series. I see a tight series and points may very well come in handy. I'll side with the 76ers.