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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Toronto Raptors - 5/5/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Toronto Raptors at Philadelphia 76ers
Date & Time Sunday May 5, 2019, 3:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia
The Line
The Line: Philadelphia +1.5 -- Over/Under 214.5
TV Channel
ABC
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Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Raptors will be hoping to level the series against the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 4 at the Wells Fargo Center on Sunday.

The Toronto Raptors were feeling good after opening the series with a double-digit win, but they're suddenly in real danger of falling behind 3-1 after falling to the 76ers in a 116-95 loss in Game 3. Kawhi Leonard has had the hot hand for the Raptors all series and he led the way with 33 points on 13 of 22 shooting but he just didn't have enough help as no one else finished in double figures except for Pascal Siakam who had 20 points and Danny Green who chipped in with 13 points. Kyle Lowry shot just two of 10 for his seven points while Fred VanVleet shot zero for seven to finish with just one point. As a team, the Raptors struggled on the offensive end as they shot just 42 percent from the field and seven of 27 from the 3-point line and that hurt them the most in the fourth quarter where they managed just 14 points. 

Meanwhile, the Philadelphia 76ers must be feeling pretty good about themselves after blowing out the Raptors in Game 3 to take control of the series. Joel Embiid led from the front with 33 points, 10 rebounds, three assists and five blocks, Jimmy Butler added 22 points with nine rebounds and nine assists while JJ Redick chipped in with 15 points. As a team, the 76ers shot a healthy 51 percent from the field and 10 of 23 from the 3-point line as they poured in 64 points in the first half to take a 11-point at halftime, before running away with in the fourth quarter where they outscored the Raptors by 27-14. The 76ers outrebounded the Raptors by 45-35 while shooting 20 of 23 from the free-throw line, but perhaps the biggest indicator of how the teams played was in the assists column as the 76ers had 29 compared to the Raptors' 15.

Looking at the betting trends, the Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games, 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 Sunday games and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 Conference Semifinals games. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record, 2-6 ATS in their last eight Conference Semifinals games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

Head to head, the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, the Raptors are 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings overall and the Raptors are 27-12-2 ATS in the last 41 meetings in Philadelphia.

The pressure is well any truly on the Raptors to come out strong and level the series or face a commanding 3-1 series deficit. The 76ers have all the momentum at the moment, but a loss here would surrender home-court advantage, so they have to be careful here. You can pencil Leonard in for another big scoring night, but it won't be enough if the supporting cast struggles again. It's tough to bet against the 76ers at home after the way they played in Game 3, but the Raptors have their backs against the wall, so I'm looking at them to come out strong and level the series in a close one.

Pick:
Toronto -1.5
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