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Phoenix Suns vs. Miami Heat - 12/7/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Heat (9-14) at Phoenix Suns (4-21)
Date & Time Friday December 7, 2018, 9:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Phoenix Suns +7.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
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NBA | Miami Heat (9-14) at Phoenix Suns (4-21)
Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Heat and Phoenix Suns meet Friday in NBA action at the Talking Stick Resort Arena.

The Miami Heat could use a feel good win after losing six of their last nine games. The Miami Heat are averaging 107.4 points on 43.2 percent shooting and allowing 10.94 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Josh Richardson is averaging 19.7 points and 3.3 assists while Goran Dragic is averaging 16.3 points and 4.7 assists. Dwyane Wade is the third double-digit scorer and Hassan Whiteside is grabbing 13.7 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 69.9 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.6 rebounds per game. The Miami Heat have split their last eight road games.

The Phoenix Suns could use a win here to snap a rough seven-game losing streak. The Phoenix Suns are averaging 103 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 114 points on 48.4 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 23.5 points and 6.7 assists while TJ Warren is averaging 17.7 points and 4.1 rebounds. Deandre Ayton is the third double-digit scorer and Trevor Ariza is dishing 3.3 assists. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.9 rebounds per game. The Phoenix Suns have lost their last four home games.

The Heat are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Friday games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Heat are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Phoenix and 25-7 ATS in the last 32 meetings. The under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 overall. The under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 overall.

I'm not trying to lay chalk with the Miami Heat, as they're not playing good basketball right now. I certainly don't want to back the Heat without Hassan Whiteside, Wayne Ellington and Goran Dragic. However, the Phoenix Suns are the worst team in the league and that's with or without Booker. Without Booker it's obviously much worse. The Suns were rocked last night by the Portland Trail Blazers and are being outscored by 18.6 points in their last five games. It's bad, bad in Phoenix right now. So, I wouldn't bet this game personally, but if forced to pick, it's got to be Heat or nothing. The Suns have zero betting value. 

Miami Heat -7.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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