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Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Pelicans - 4/5/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
New Orleans Pelicans at Phoenix Suns
Date & Time Friday April 5, 2019, 10:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Talking Stick Resort Arena
Phoenix, AZ
The Line
The Line: Phoenix +1
TV Channel
FSAZ+, FSNO
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Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

The Phoenix Suns play host to the New Orleans Pelicans at the Talking Stick Resort Arena on Friday night.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been in a world of hurt as they’ve lost 11 of their last 13 games and they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after falling short against the Hornets in a 115-109 home loss on Wednesday. Julius Randle led the team with 34 points, 11 rebounds and three assists while Ian Clark and Stanley Johnson each scored 17 points. As a team, the Pelicans shot 47 percent from the field and 15 of 41 from the 3-point line as they played well to stay close with the Hornets for most of the game until the fourth quarter where Kemba Walker scored 21 of his 32 points to help carry the Hornets over the line. With the tough loss, New Orleans fell to 32-47 overall and 19-21 at home.

Meanwhile, the Phoenix Suns have been struggling mightily with seven losses in their last eight games and things went from bad to worse on Wednesday when they lost to the Jazz by 118-97 at home. Richaun Holmes led the team with 16 points, nine rebounds and four assists, Elie Okobo added 15 points while Josh Jackson chipped in with 12 points off the bench. As a team, the Suns shot 46 percent from the field and five of 21 from the 3-point line, but they actually led by 13 points early in the game before suffering a cruel blow as Devin Booker left the game with an ankle sprain which was just too much to overcome for the Suns who were always shorthanded coming into this one. With the loss, Phoenix fell to 18-61 overall and 11-29 at home.

Looking at the betting trends, the Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a losing record, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Suns are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 home games against a team with a losing road record, 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

Head to head, the road team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings, the Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings in Phoenix and the Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings overall.

Here we have two of the most injury depleted teams colliding in a game with little meaning with both teams already looking towards the offseason. The Pelicans can hang with teams when Randle goes off, but their lack of depth has been their downfall as we saw in their narrow loss to the Hornets on Wednesday. The Suns couldn't buy a win despite Devin Booker putting up huge numbers, so I'm not that eager to see them play now that Booker has been shut down for the rest of the season. The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings in Phoenix and I think they keep that trend going with a narrow win and cover here.

Pick:
New Orleans -1
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