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Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets - 5/7/19 NBA Game 5 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets
Date & Time Tuesday May 7, 2019, 10:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Pepsi Center
Denver, Colorado
The Line
The Line: Denver Nuggets -4.5 -- Over/Under: 213.5
TV Channel
TNT
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Jaime Valdez-USA TODAY Sports

The Portland Trail Blazers and Denver Nuggets meet Tuesday in game five of the second round of the NBA playoffs at the Pepsi Center.

The Portland Trail Blazers look for their third road playoff victory to take a 3-2 series lead. The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 113 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 110 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Damian Lillard is averaging 30.4 points and 6.1 assists while CJ McCollum is averaging 25.3 points and 5.6 rebounds. Enes Kanter is the third double-digit scorer and Al-Farouq Aminu is grabbing eight rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game. The Portland Trail Blazers have won eight of their last 13 road games.

The Denver Nuggets look for their fifth home playoff victory to take a 3-2 series lead. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 109.1 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 107.7 points on 46 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.5 points and 12.5 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.7 points and 4.3 assists. Paul Millsap is the third double-digit scorer and Gary Harris is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.5 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have won seven of their last nine home games.

The Trail Blazers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Tuesday games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Conference Semifinals games, 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. NBA Northwest and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win. The Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The over is 7-3 in Nuggets last 10 overall. The over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 overall.

The Portland Trail Blazers have split their last 10 games ATS as a road underdog. The Denver Nuggets have split their last 10 games ATS as a home favorite. 

I continue to struggle getting a feel for this series, as it feels like momentum doesn't mean much and the Nuggets getting hot from deep can cancel out everything you factored into your wager. So, I'm leaning toward the over in this crucial game five. The over is a strong trend for both of these teams and the four meetings in this series are averaging 231.5 points. Of course, that includes a four-overtime game, but you remove that game, and you have an average of 216.3 points in three games. Both of these clubs are quite comfortable offensively and the three ball has had no trouble falling. I like the over in this contest. 

Pick:
Over 213.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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