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Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets - 5/3/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers
Date & Time Friday May 3, 2019, 10:30 PM (EDT)
Moda Center
Portland, Oregon
The Line
The Line: Portland Trail Blazers -4 -- Over/Under: 215.5
TV Channel
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The Denver Nuggets and Portland Trail Blazers meet Friday in game three of the second round of the NBA playoffs at the Moda Center.

The Denver Nuggets look to regain home court advantage while taking a 2-1 series lead. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 105.2 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 103.7 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 23.9 points and 12 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 19 points and 4.2 assists. Gary Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 74.4 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have lost five of their last six road games.

The Portland Trail Blazers look to remain undefeated at home in the playoffs while taking a 2-1 series lead. The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 109.3 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 105.3 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Damian Lillard is averaging 31.1 points and 5.7 assists while CJ McCollum is averaging 22.6 points and 5.3 rebounds. Enes Kanter is the third double-digit scorer and Al-Farouq Aminu is grabbing 7.4 rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 38.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game. The Portland Trail Blazers have won each of their last 11 home games.

The Nuggets are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 1 days rest, 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Northwest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. The Trail Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Friday games and 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games playing on 1 days rest. The Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland and 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The over is 16-4-1 in Trail Blazers last 21 home games. The under is 23-11 in Nuggets last 34 overall.

The Denver Nuggets continue to play the hit or miss game these playoffs, and they now go on the road where they lose by an average of 2.7 points and are 18-26 ATS. The Denver Nuggets have failed to cover 12 of their last 19 games as a road underdog. The Portland Trail Blazers are 6-6-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. The Nuggets were one of the easier teams to bet on this season, as you backed them heavily at home and faded them on the road. The Portland Trail Blazers won at home this season by an average of 8.4 points and have an explosive offense that shoots 47.7 percent from the field and 37.1 percent from three. I've said before that I'm not sold on these young Nuggets, and I have even less confidence in them on the road. I'll lay the reasonable chalk with the Trail Blazers. 

Portland Trail Blazers -4

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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