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Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets - 5/5/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers
Date & Time Sunday May 5, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Moda Center
Portland, Oregon
The Line
The Line: Portland Trail Blazers -4.5 -- Over/Under: 210.5
TV Channel
TNT
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The Denver Nuggets and Portland Trail Blazers meet Sunday in game four of the second round of the NBA playoffs at the Moda Center.

The Denver Nuggets have another chance to take back home court advantage while tying up the series at 2-2. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 108.4 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 107.3 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.8 points and 12.6 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 20.5 points and 4.3 assists. Gary Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have lost six of their last seven road games.

The Portland Trail Blazers can take complete control of this series with a victory and a 3-1 lead. The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 113.1 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 109.3 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Damian Lillard is averaging 30.8 points and six assists while CJ McCollum is averaging 24.9 points and 5.6 rebounds. Enes Kanter is the third double-digit scorer and Al-Farouq Aminu is grabbing eight rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47 rebounds per game. The Portland Trail Blazers have won each of their last 12 home games.

The Nuggets are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. NBA Northwest, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest. The Trail Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games, 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games playing on 1 days rest and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games. The Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland and 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The over is 16-4-1 in Trail Blazers last 21 home games. The over is 5-2 in Nuggets last 7 overall.

The Denver Nuggets showed great heart in their game three loss, as they could have easily folded many times, but they hung in there, made clutch shots and it actually looked like they were going to win in the third overtime. With that said, it's fair to question how this young team is going to respond after such a tough road loss. It's also going to be interesting to see how guys like Jokic, Murray and Harris rebound from just one days rest after playing 50-plus minutes. The big man was fatigued, and that was before thy played an extra 15 minutes. It's the type of loss that may very well end up being the turning point in the series. Regardless, you usually don't get extra chances to win on the road, and the Nuggets have failed to cover 12 of their last 20 road games when an underdog. I'll take the Trail Blazers and the reasonable chalk. 

Pick:
Portland Trail Blazers -4.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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