Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers
|Date & Time||Monday May 20, 2019, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Portland Trail Blazers +3.5 -- Over/Under: 220.5
The Golden State Warriors and Portland Trail Blazers meet Monday in game four of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the Moda Center.
The Golden State Warriors are one win away from advancing to their fifth straight NBA Finals. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 117.1 points on 48.9 percent shooting and allowing 110.1 points on 44 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 34.2 points and 5.2 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 26.7 points and 5.3 assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 9.6 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 82 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won five of their last seven road games.
The Portland Trail Blazers need a win to save their season and force a game five on Wednesday. The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 109.2 points on 43.3 percent shooting and allowing 110.5 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Damian Lillard is averaging 26.8 points and 6.3 assists while CJ McCollum is averaging 24.6 points and 5.2 rebounds. Enes Kanter is the third double-digit scorer and Rodney Hood is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 76.7 percent from the free throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game. The Portland Trail Blazers have won five of their last seven home games.
The Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win, 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 Monday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games. The Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The over is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in Portland and 20-9 in the last 29 meetings. The over is 19-6-1 in Trail Blazers last 26 home games. The over is 3-1-1 in Warriors last 5 road games.
The Golden State Warriors have failed to cover 10 of their last 16 games as a favorite. The Portland Trail Blazers have failed to cover seven of their last 11 games as an underdog.
The Portland Trail Blazers have blown back-to-back double-digit leads and look like a team that had their spirit broken in Saturday's loss. The Trail Blazers only seem to be able to put things together for a quarter or two before things go flat, and they haven chance in hell if Lillard is going to continue playing at this level. In three games, Lillard is shooting just 32.9 percent from the field and averaging 4.7 turnovers. McCollum has had flashes this series, but he's shooting just 37 percent from the field and 27.6 percent from three. The Trail Blazers go as far as their backcourt takes them, and they're both underachieving on the big stage. While it feels like the sucker move to jump on Golden State in the favorite role now, the Trail Blazers have shown us very little through three games to think this game is going to be any different. If Portland was going to make this a series, it would have been in game three. So, I don't love the line, but I'll take Golden State.