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Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - 4/16/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers
Date & Time Tuesday April 16, 2019, 10:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Moda Center
Portland, OR
The Line
The Line: Portland -2 -- Over/Under 218
TV Channel
TNT
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Jaime Valdez-USA TODAY Sports

The Oklahoma City Thunder look to level the series against the Portland Trailblazers at the Moda Center in Game 2 of the NBA Western Conference Playoffs on Tuesday.

The Oklahoma City Thunder were coming into the playoffs with plenty of momentum after capping off the regular season with five straight wins, but they were stopped in the tracks by the Trailblazers in a 104-99 loss in Game 1. Russell Westbrook racked up a triple-double of 24 points with 10 rebounds and 10 assists, Paul George led the team in scoring with 26 points and 10 rebounds while Steven Adams chipped in with 17 points and nine rebounds. As a team, the Thunder shot just 39 percent from the field and a miserly five of 33 from the 3-point line, but they held the Trailblazers to just 15 points in the second quarter to stay in the contest, only to fall short as they needed more production from George who missed 16 of his 24 shots as he played through an injury. Off the bench, Schroder shot just five of 17 for his 11 points in 36 minutes of action, so he will be looking to bounce back.

Meanwhile, the Portland Trailblazers got swept by the Thunder in the regular season, but you wouldn’t know that from the way they played as they stormed out of the gates with 39 points in the first quarter, started by Damian Lillard who drained a deep 3-pointer from 30-feet just seconds after tipoff. Lillard went on to lead the team with 30 points, CJ McCollum added 24 points on nine of 24 shooting while Enes Kanter was a pest on the offensive glass as he racked up 20 points with 18 rebounds and two blocks. As a team, the Trailblazers shot 41 percent from the field and 11 of 25 from the 3-point line as they stormed out to an early double-digit lead before edging out the Thunder late. It wasn’t the most dominant of performances as they looked to be in trouble late in the game, but their explosive first quarter really gave them a nice cushion to set up the win.

Looking at the betting trends, the Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record, 4-13 ATS in their last 17 against the Western Conference and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Trailblazers are 7-24-2 ATS in their last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games, 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games against a team with a winning record and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Tuesday games.

Head to head, the over is 4-0 in the last four meetings and the Thunder are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

The Thunder will be kicking themselves as they could’ve stole Game 1 if they didn’t allow the Trailblazers to get off to such a hot start. George seemed to be moving fine, but his shot figures and the level of taping on his shoulders suggests otherwise, so the Thunder will need more scoring from role players like Dennis Schroder, Jerami Grant and Terrence Ferguson. The Trailblazers will be delighted with how they’ve started the series especially after getting swept by the Thunder in the regular season. A lot of the scoring burden remains on Lillard who had the hot hand from the tipoff but they must feel great about how good McCollum looked despite not being at 100 percent. This one could really go either way, so while I’m tempted to take the Thunder, I got this series going to seven games, so I’m taking the Trailblazers to secure home-court advantage with another narrow win and cover here behind another big game from Lillard.

Pick:
Portland -2
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