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Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - 4/23/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers
Date & Time Tuesday April 23, 2019, 10:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Moda Center
Portland, OR
The Line
The Line: Portland -3.5 -- Over/Under 220.5
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The Oklahoma City Thunder will be looking to stave off elimination against the Portland Trailblazers in Game 5 at the Moda Center on Tuesday night.

The Oklahoma City Thunder would’ve been full of confidence following their thrilling win over the Trailblazers in Game 3, but they’re suddenly playing to keep their season alive after last night’s 111-98 home loss. Paul George led the team in scoring with 32 points, 10 rebounds and six assists while battling foul trouble, Russell Westbrook added 14 points with nine rebounds and seven assists while Dennis Schroder chipped in with 17 points off the bench. As a team, the Thunder shot just 37 percent from the field and 15 of 40 from the 3-point line as they led by seven points late in the second quarter, but they never threatened after allowing the Trailblazers to go on a decisive 16-0 spanning from the second quarter to the third quarter. Terrence Ferguson scored just three points, Steven Adams scored just six points while Westbrook scored just one point in the second half as he shot just five of 21 from the field.

Meanwhile, the Portland Trailblazers are now just one win away from advancing to the second round after last night’s crucial road win at Oklahoma City. Damian Lillard continued his red-hot form with 24 points and eight assists on seven of 19 shooting and he had plenty of support as CJ McCollum added 27 points while Al-Farouq Aminu and Maurice Harkless scored 19 and 15 points respectively. As a team, the Trailblazers shot 41 percent from the field and 15 of 35 from the 3-point line which doesn’t sound too flash, but they did most of their damage in the second and third quarters while keeping a lid on Westbrook which kept the Thunder at bay in the fourth quarter.

Looking at the betting trends, the Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games, 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against a team with a winning home record and 5-15 ATS in their last 20 against the Western Conference. The Trailblazers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games playing on one days rest, 43-21-1 ATS in their last 65 home games and 9-25-2 ATS in their last 36 Conference Quarterfinals games.

Head to head, the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Portland. The Thunder are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings overall and the Thunder are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings in Portland.

The Thunder were picked by many experts to advance to the second round, but the Trailblazers hold a commanding 3-1 series lead and are proving tough to beat with McCollum returning to form after missing time with that late-season injury. We know that Westbrook has the ability to carry the team on his back with his aggressive play, but I can’t help but feel that he shot his team out of the game with his shot selection. The Thunder are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings in Portland and I think that trend continues as the Trailblazers put the nail in the coffin with a solid home win to move onto the second round.

Pick:
Portland -3.5
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