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Sacramento Kings vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 2/27/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Bucks at Sacramento Kings
Date & Time Wednesday February 27, 2019, 10:00 PM (EST)
Golden 1 Center
Sacramento, CA
The Line
The Line: Sacramento +5
TV Channel
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The Sacramento Kings play host to the Milwaukee Bucks at the Golden 1 Center on Wednesday night.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been in great form as they’ve won 11 of their last 12 games and they will be gunning for a sixth straight victory after taking down the Bulls in a 117-106 road win on Monday. Khris Middleton and Malcolm Brogdon led the team in scoring with 22 points each while Brook Lopez and Nikola Mirotic each scored 13 points. As a team, the Bucks shot 46 percent from the field and 17 of 49 from the 3-point line as they fell into an early 14-point deficit before taking control of the game in the second quarter where they outscored the Bulls by 38-16. Giannis Antetokounmpo sat out the game with knee soreness and is currently listed as probable for Wednesday. With the win, Milwaukee improved to 46-14 on the season which is currently the best overall record in the league.

Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings have been in decent shape as they’ve won six of their past 10 games, but they will be aiming to bounce back after falling just short against the Timberwolves in a 112-105 road loss on Monday. Marvin Bagley III led the team with 25 points, 11 rebounds and two blocks, De’Aaron Fox added 23 points with five assists while Buddy Hield chipped in with 18 points. As a team, the Kings shot just 38 percent from the field and nine of 26 from the 3-point line as they stormed out to an early 13-point lead in the first quarter, but they were always fighting an uphill battle after the Timberwolves outscored them by 44-23 in a disastrous second quarter. With the loss, Sacramento fell to 31-29 on the season which is currently good for ninth place in the Western Conference standings.

Looking at the betting trends, the Bucks are 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 road games, 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a win of more than 10 points and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Kings are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games, 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

Head to head, the over is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings, the Bucks are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall and 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Sacramento.

The Kings have been one of the surprise teams of the league as they’re currently in with a real shot to earn themselves a playoff berth, but they’ve run into the league-leading Bucks who have already beaten them by 35 points back on Nov 4. I’d probably lean with the Kings if I was getting enough points, but with the line so short, the value is with the Bucks who are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Sacramento.

Milwaukee -5
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