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San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets - 4/13/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets
Date & Time Saturday April 13, 2019, 10:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Pepsi Center
Denver, Colorado
The Line
The Line: Denver Nuggets -5.5 -- Over/Under: 211
TV Channel
ESPN
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Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The San Antonio Spurs and Denver Nuggets meet Saturday in game one of the NBA playoffs at the Pepsi Center.

The San Antonio Spurs are in the playoffs for the 22nd consecutive year but have been bounced in the first round twice in the last four years. The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 111.7 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 110 points on 46.3 percent shooting. LaMarcus Aldridge is averaging 21.3 points and 9.2 rebounds and DeMar DeRozan is averaging 21.2 points and 6.2 assists. Rudy Gay is the third double-digit scorer and Bryn Forbes is dishing 2.1 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 81.9 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game. The San Antonio Spurs have split their last 10 road games.

The Denver Nuggets are in the playoffs for the first time since 2012-13 and haven’t made it out of the first round since 2008-09. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 110.7 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 106.7 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 20.1 points and 10.8 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 18.2 points and 4.8 assists. Gary Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing 7.2 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 75.5 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.4 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have won seven of their last eight home games.

The Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 8-21 ATS in their last 29 vs. NBA Southwest. The Spurs are 21-8 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Denver and the favorite is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. The under is 21-7 in Nuggets last 28 overall. The under is 16-5 in Spurs last 21 overall.

The Denver Nuggets finished the regular season extremely sluggish, which included a near loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves, a game that would have dropped them out of the second seed. For me, this series comes down to experience. The Spurs have been there done that and know what it takes to win this time of year. The Nuggets are very wet behind the ears and it could take some time to adjust, as this style of play is completely different from regular season play. The home team has won the last 10 meetings between the Spurs and Nuggets, but I like the value of the Spurs and the free buckets, a series I have them winning in upset fashion. 

Pick:
San Antonio Spurs +5.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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