San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets
|Date & Time||Tuesday April 16, 2019, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Denver Nuggets -7 -- Over/Under: 208
The San Antonio Spurs and Denver Nuggets meet Tuesday in game two of the NBA Western Conference playoffs at the Pepsi Center.
The San Antonio Spurs can take complete control of this series with another win and a 2-0 lead. The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 101 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 96 points on 42 percent shooting. LaMarcus Aldridge is averaging 15 points and eight rebounds and DeMar DeRozan is averaging 18 points and six assists. Derrick White is the third double-digit scorer and Patty Mills is dishing three assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 46.7 percent from beyond the arc and 70 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 21.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47 rebounds per game. The San Antonio Spurs have won six their last 11 road games.
The Denver Nuggets need a victory here to tie up the series at 1-1 and improve their odds of advancing. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 96 points on 42 percent shooting and allowing 101 points on 48.2 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 10 points and 14 rebounds while Gary Harris is averaging 20 points and three rebounds. Jamal Murray is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing four rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 21.4 percent from beyond the arc and 66.7 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 46.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have won seven of their last nine home games.
The Spurs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 2 days rest and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. The Nuggets are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games and 8-22 ATS in their last 30 vs. NBA Southwest. The Spurs are 22-8 ATS in the last 30 meetings in Denver and the road team is 29-13 ATS in the last 42 meetings. The under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 overall. The under is 17-5 in Spurs last 22 overall.
Even with the game one win, the home team has won 10 of the last 11 meetings between the Spurs and Nuggets. The Spurs have been awful on the road for majority of the season and the Nuggets have been one of the best covering home teams. The difference here is playoff experience, as the Spurs are battle tested and are here every year, while the Nuggets are wet behind the ears and don't have many guys who have been through these wars. It's the reason why I had the Spurs winning this series and will continue to take them in the underdog role whenever I can get free points. I trust the Spurs in the playoffs and know what to expect. I don't trust the Nuggets. I'll take the free points again.