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San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets - 3/4/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs
Date & Time Monday March 4, 2019, 8:30 PM (EST)
Location
AT&T Center
San Antonio, Texas
The Line
The Line: San Antonio Spurs +2 -- Over/Under: 227.5
TV Channel
ALT, FSSW
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Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs meet Monday in NBA action at the AT&T Center.

The Denver Nuggets look for a victory after splitting their last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 112.2 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 107.2 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 20.6 points and 10.7 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 18.2 points and 4.9 assists. Gary Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing seven rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75.4 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.9 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have split their last six road games.

The San Antonio Spurs also need a win after losing seven of their last 10 games. The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 112 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 111.2 points on 46.8 percent shooting. DeMar DeRozan is averaging 21.5 points and 6.1 assists while LaMarcus Aldridge is averaging 20.9 points and 8.9 rebounds. Rudy Gay is the third double-digit scorer and Bryn Forbes is dishing 2.2 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 40.2 percent from beyond the arc and 82.3 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game. The San Antonio Spurs have won their last six home games.

The Nuggets are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 vs. NBA Southwest, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Spurs are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The over is 12-4 in Spurs last 16 overall. The under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 overall.

The San Antonio Spurs have been much better at home than on the road this season, as they're 20-11 ATS and win by an average of 7.3 points. The problem is the Spurs have fallen off a cliff in terms of production lately, losing seven of their last 10 games and failing to cover 10 of their last 13 games. The Denver Nuggets aren't as safe of a bet on the road as they are at home, but they are playing much more consistent basketball and are easier to trust at the moment. The Nuggets enter this game outscoring tams by an average of 6.2 points in their last five games and have really tightened up defensively. I'll lay the bucket with the Nuggets on the road, as I don't want anything to do with the Spurs in their current form.

Pick:
Denver Nuggets -2

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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