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San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets - 4/20/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs
Date & Time Saturday April 20, 2019, 5:30 PM (EDT)
Location
AT&T Center
San Antonio, TX
The Line
The Line: San Antonio -3.5 -- Over/Under 208
TV Channel
TNT
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The Denver Nuggets and the San Antonio Spurs duke it out in a pivotal Game 4 at the AT&T Center on Saturday night.

The Denver Nuggets were able to level the series in Game 2 on the back of some late game heroics from Jamal Murray, but they fell back to Earth in Game 3 as they fell to the Spurs by 118-108. Nikola Jokic led the team with 22 points, eight rebounds and seven assists, Malik Beasley added 20 points and nine rebounds while Paul Millsap chipped in with 14 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot a healthy 51 percent from the field and 15 of 29 from the 3-point line, but they needed more production from their starting backcourt duo of Jamal Murray and Gary Harris who combined to shoot just six of 19 from the field. Another problem was on the defensive end as the Nuggets just didn’t know how to slow down Derrick White who came out of nowhere to lead the Spurs with 36 points on 15 of 21 shooting.

Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs would’ve been so disappointed with themselves after dropping Game 2, but they didn’t let it affect them as they regrouped to take Game 3 and control of the series. White led the way with his career-high 36 points and he had plenty of support as DeMar DeRozan added 25 points with five assists while LaMarcus Aldridge racked up 18 points with 11 rebounds and five assists. As a team, the Spurs shot 49 percent from the field and seven of 18 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with their defense by holding the Nuggets to just 22 points in the first quarter, before holding them to 24 points in the fourth quarter as they pulled away late.

Looking at the betting trends, the Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. The Spurs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games against a team with a winning record, 1-5 ATS in their last six home games and 4-1 ATS in their last five Conference Quarterfinals games.

Head to head, the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings overall, the under is 24-10 in the last 34 meetings in San Antonio and the Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings in San Antonio.

The Nuggets will be so disappointed with their performance in Game 3 after such a thrilling comeback win in Game 2, but they need to refocus quickly or find themselves facing an elimination game back at home. The Spurs were able to ride the hot hand of White to take the lead in this series and I think they sink their claws in with another win here as the Nuggets haven’t won in San Antonio in years. Give me the Spurs to move one step closer to the second round with a win and cover here.

Pick:
San Antonio -3.5
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