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San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets - 4/25/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs
Date & Time Thursday April 25, 2019, 8:00 PM (EDT)
Location
AT&T Center
San Antonio, Texas
The Line
The Line: San Antonio Spurs -2.5 -- Over/Under: 208
TV Channel
TNT
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Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs meet Thursday in game six of the NBA Western Conference playoffs at the AT&T Center.

The Denver Nuggets will make it out of the first round of the playoffs for the first time since 2008-09 with a victory here. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 108.6 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 103.4 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 19.6 points and 11.6 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 18.8 points and 3.8 assists. Gary Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 41.4 percent from beyond the arc and 73 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 33.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have lost six of their last eight road games.

The San Antonio Spurs need a victory here in order to save their season and force a game seven on Saturday. The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 103.4 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 108.6 points on 47.3 percent shooting. DeMar DeRozan is averaging 22 points and 3.8 assists while LaMarcus Aldridge is averaging 19.6 points and 9.2 rebounds. Derrick White is the third double-digit scorer and Bryn Forbes is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 33.7 percent from beyond the arc and 74.2 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 41.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46 rebounds per game. The San Antonio Spurs have won 15 of their last 18 home games.

The Nuggets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Conference Quarterfinals games, 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 1 days rest and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games, 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the favorite is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings. The under is 18-8 in Spurs last 26 overall. The under is 21-9 in Nuggets last 30 overall.

It's hard to get a feel for this series, as both teams have had their moments where they look brilliant and other moments where they've put together ugly stretches. The few things we can rely on is that the San Antonio Spurs still have a clear experience edge and won't be rattled having their backs against the wall. The Spurs have also won 15 of their last 18 home games SU and have covered 12 of their last 20 home games when a favorite of 10 or less points. The Denver Nuggets haven't been the same team on the road as they are at home, and that includes an 18-25 ATS record overall. The Nuggets have also failed to cover 11 of their last 18 games as a road underdog. I'll lay the bucket with the Spurs. This series is going to a game seven. 

Pick:
San Antonio Spurs -2.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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