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San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors - 3/18/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs
Date & Time Monday March 18, 2019, 8:00 PM (EDT)
Location
AT&T Center
San Antonio, TX
The Line
The Line: San Antonio +2.5 -- Over/Under 224
TV Channel
ESPN, NSBA, FSSW
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Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

The San Antonio Spurs play host to the Golden State Warriors at the AT&T Center on Monday night.

The Golden State Warriors haven’t been at their best as they’ve split their last 12 games, but they will be gunning for a third straight win after blowing past the Thunder in a 110-88 road win on Saturday. Stephen Curry led the team with 33 points on 10 of 23 shooting, Klay Thompson added 23 points with eight rebounds and four assists while DeMarcus Cousins chipped in with 12 points, eight rebounds and six assists. As a team, the Warriors shot 47 percent from the field and 15 of 35 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 40 points in the first quarter to lead by 22 points in the third quarter before resting their starters in the fourth. Kevin Durant sat out his second straight game with a sprained right ankle and his status for Monday is unclear. With the win, Golden State improved to 47-21 overall and 23-11 on the road.

Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs have been on fire ever since they came home from their annual rodeo trip as they will be aiming for a season-high ninth straight win after sneaking past the Trailblazers in a 108-103 home win on Saturday. DeMar DeRozan led the team with 21 points, Derrick White and Rudy Gay each scored 13 points while LaMarcus Aldridge and Patty Mills each scored 12 points. As a team, the Spurs shot 46 percent from the field and eight of 17 from the 3-point line as they looked to be one step behind the Trailblazers for most of the game until the fourth quarter where they outscored them by 36-27 to escape with the narrow win, as the Trailblazers struggled to close the game without CJ McCollum who left the game with a leg injury after just 23 minutes of action. With the win, San Antonio improved to 41-29 overall and 28-7 at home which is good for sixth place in the Western Conference standings.

Looking at the betting trends, the Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a win of more than 10 points, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a home record above .600 and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team above .600 and 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.

Head to head, the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Antonio, the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings and the favorite is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

You just knew that sooner or later, the Spurs would spring to life with a long win streak and they looked great in their win over the Trailblazers. The Warriors have had to play without Kevin Durant, but that hasn’t slowed them down as Cousins and Thompson picked up their production. The season series is tied at 1-1, but the Spurs will be looking for revenge after getting rolled by 141-102 back on Feb 6. I’m tempted to take the Warriors here, but the Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and I think they’re playing well enough to pull off the minor upset at home.

Pick:
San Antonio +2.5
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