Toronto Raptors at Milwaukee Bucks - 5/15/19 NBA Game 1 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Toronto Raptors at Milwaukee Bucks
Wednesday, May 15, 2019 at 7:30 PM (Fiserv Forum)
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks -6 -- Over/Under: 217.5
The Toronto Raptors and Milwaukee Bucks meet Wednesday in game one of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at the Fiserv Forum.
The Toronto Raptors haven’t played since Sunday and are coming off a seven-game series against the Philadelphia 76ers. The Toronto Raptors are averaging 103.6 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 96 points on 41.3 percent shooting. Kawhi Leonard is averaging 31.8 points and 8.5 rebounds while Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.8 points and 7.3 rebounds. Kyle Lowry is the third double-digit scorer and Serge Ibaka is grabbing 5.8 rebounds. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 32.7 percent from beyond the arc and 82.3 percent from the free throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 31.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game. The Toronto Raptors have won three of their last five road games.
The Milwaukee Bucks will play their first game in a week and are coming off a five-game series against the Boston Celtics. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 116.9 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 101.6 points on 39.9 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 27.4 points and 11.3 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 19.1 points and six rebounds. Eric Bledsoe is the third double-digit scorer and George Hill is dishing three assists. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 73.2 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 52 rebounds per game. The Milwaukee Bucks have won four of their last five home games.
The Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 35-14-2 ATS in their last 51 vs. Eastern Conference and 39-18-2 ATS in their last 59 games overall. The Raptors are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The over is 11-5 in Bucks last 16 overall. The under is 10-3 in Raptors last 13 overall.
The Toronto Raptors have covered six of their last eight games as a road underdog. The Milwaukee Bucks are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite.
The Bucks have won four of the last five against the Raptors and covered five of the last seven. The Bucks have also had a week of rest, while the Raptors are coming off an emotional last-second win Sunday, arguably the biggest shot and biggest win in franchise history. It will be interesting to see how the rest and the emotional high plays a role in this first game. With that said, I have zero feel for this series and won't bet any of these games personally. If forced to pick, I'd eat the points with the Bucks based on how consistent they've been these playoffs and the fact the Raptors have thrown in some stinkers, especially on the road against lesser competition. If the Bucks continue to hit their outside shots, they could run away with this game in the second half.