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Toronto Raptors vs. Golden State Warriors - 5/30/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Golden State Warriors at Toronto Raptors
Date & Time Thursday May 30, 2019, 9:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Scotiabank Arena
Toronto, Ontario
The Line
The Line: Toronto Raptors +1 -- Over/Under: 215
TV Channel
ABC
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Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors and Toronto Raptors meet Thursday in game one of the NBA Finals at the Scotiabank Arena.

The Golden State Warriors will play their first game in 10 days after sweeping the Portland Trail Blazers. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 117.3 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 110.5 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 34.2 points and 5.2 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 27.3 points and 5.6 assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 9.9 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 81.9 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won their last three road games.

The Toronto Raptors will play their first game in five days after beating the Milwaukee Bucks in six games. The Toronto Raptors are averaging 104.9 points on 44.1 percent shooting and allowing 99.6 points on 41.7 percent shooting. Kawhi Leonard is averaging 31.2 points and 8.8 rebounds while Pascal Siakam is averaging 18.7 points and seven rebounds. Kyle Lowry is the third double-digit scorer and Serge Ibaka is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.8 percent from the free throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 31.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.8 rebounds per game. The Toronto Raptors have won their last five home games.

The Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Raptors are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Warriors are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The under is 13-6 in Raptors last 19 overall. The over is 4-1-1 in Warriors last 6 road games.

The Golden State Warriors are 6-11-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a road favorite. The Toronto Raptors have covered their last four games as a home underdog.

The Raptors have beaten the Warriors twice this season, and while neither of those games have come in 2019, Toronto did a good job of defending the three and forced a combined 33 turnovers. Without Durant, the Raptors have a chance to make this thing competitive with their defense. The Toronto Raptors have the ability to get very physical with the Warriors guards and they have multiple bigs who can give them the rebound edge as well. I'm worried about the Raptors not being able to make enough shots, as their role players are often hit or miss, but they have a shot of making things interesting in a slow, ugly street fight style game. As long as Durant doesn't play for the Warriors, I'll take the Raptors to steal game one.

Pick:
Toronto Raptors +1

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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