Golden State Warriors at Toronto Raptors - 6/2/19 NBA Game 2 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Golden State Warriors at Toronto Raptors
Sunday, June 2, 2019 at 7:00 PM (Scotiabank Arena)
The Line: Toronto -2 -- Over/Under 215
The Toronto Raptors play host to the Golden State Warriors in a pivotal Game 2 of the NBA Finals at the Scotiabank Arena on Sunday night.
The Golden State Warriors are arguably the best NBA team when they are at full health and playing at their best, but they’ve been hobbled coming into Finals and are now in danger of falling into a 2-0 series deficit after losing by 118-109 in Game 1. Stephen Curry led the team with 34 points, five rebounds and five assists, Klay Thompson added 21 points on eight of 17 shooting while Draymond Green racked up a triple-double of 10 points with 10 rebounds and 10 assists. As a team, the Warriors shot just 43 percent from the field and 12 of 31 from the 3-point line as they were always fighting an uphill battle after falling behind by 10 points going into halftime. Curry did a nice job of keeping the team within striking distance throughout the game and the Warriors could’ve easily stole that game late if they just received more production from players like Andre Iguodala, Shaun Livingston who scored six points each and it remains unclear how much playing time DeMarcus Cousins will receive in Game 2 after playing just eight minutes in Game 1. Kevin Durant remains out with a calf sprain and his status for the rest of the series is unclear.
Meanwhile, the Toronto Raptors did a great job of hyping up their first ever trip to the NBA Finals and they backed it up with an inspirational team effort to claim first blood in the series. Pascal Siakam had his way against the smaller lineup of the Warriors as he poured in a career-high 32 points on 14 of 17 shooting, Kawhi Leonard added 23 points with eight rebounds and five assists, Marc Gasol chipped in with 20 points while Fred VanVleet finished with 15 points in 33 minutes off the bench. As a team, the Raptors shot a healthy 50 percent from the field and 13 of 33 from the 3-point line, but the key to the win was their stifling defense as they did a great job of keeping a lid on the Warriors’ backcourt duo of Curry and Thompson, while asking someone else to beat them.
Looking at the betting trends, the Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games playing on two days rest, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Sunday games. The Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games, 5-0 ATS in their last five games against a team above .600 and 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
Head to head, the over is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Toronto, the Warriors are 1-3-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Toronto and the Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings overall.
The Warriors are almost unbeatable in series openers while the Raptors have generally struggled, so it was massive for the Raptors to take Game 1 and hold onto home-court advantage. The Warriors won’t panic after just one loss, especially because they still could’ve stolen Game 1 despite playing well below their best, but another slip-up could have them in serious trouble, especially with the injury cloud looming over Durant. Siakam did a great job of using his size advantage against the smaller lineup of the Warriors, but that level of production just isn’t sustainable. You know the Warriors are going to come out firing after suffering a rare loss, but the Raptors have shown that they belong and I think they can escape with another narrow home win behind a big game from Leonard.