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Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat - 4/7/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors
Date & Time Sunday April 7, 2019, 12:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Scotiabank Arena
Toronto, ON
The Line
The Line: Toronto Raptors -7.5 -- Over/Under: 215
TV Channel
NBAtv, FSS, TSN
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Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Raptors and the Miami Heat collide at the Scotiabank Arena for a Sunday afternoon showdown.

The Miami Heat have been in decent shape as they’ve won six of their past 11 games, but they will be hoping to put a halt to a three-game skid after falling just short against the Timberwolves in a 111-109 road loss on Friday. Dwyane Wade led the team with 24 points on eight of 16 shooting off the bench, Dion Waiters drained six 3-pointers on his way to 22 points while Goran Dragic and James Johnson each scored 15 points. As a team, the Heat shot 51 percent from the field and 10 of 34 from the 3-point line as they hit the ground running to finish with 69 points in the first half, before running out of steam in the second half where they managed just 40 points. Still, despite the poor showing in the second half, the Heat had their shot to steal it late until Wade missed the potential game-winner with time expiring. With the tough loss, Miami fell to 38-41 overall and 20-19 on the road which currently has them in ninth place in the Eastern Conference standings.

Meanwhile, the Toronto Raptors have won 10 of their last 16 games and they were going for a sixth straight win before getting stopped by the Hornets in a 113-111 road loss on Friday. Kawhi Leonard led the team with 29 points on 12 of 18 shooting, Serge Ibaka added 20 points and 12 rebounds off the bench while Kyle Lowry chipped in with 16 points, five rebounds and 11 assists. As a team, the Raptors shot a healthy 53 percent from the field and nine of 26 from the 3-point line as they poured in 65 points in a dominant first half, but the Hornets rallied in the third quarter and once again stole the game on a clutch 3-pointer from Jeremy Lamb with just 3.3 seconds left on the clock. With the tough loss, Toronto fell to 56-24 overall and 25-15 on the road which is good for second place in the Eastern Conference.

Looking at the betting trends, the Heat are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games, 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games following a loss and 45-17-2 ATS in their last 64 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Raptors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last five against the Eastern Conference and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

Head to head, the road team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, the Heat are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in Toronto and the Heat are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings overall.

When the Heat and Raptors met about a month ago, Toronto won by 21 points despite missing Kawhi and others. The Heat are still in the thick of the playoff race, but they're not playing well and have some brutal losses on their resume as of late. The Toronto Raptors are winning their last five games by an average of 13.6 points and win at home by an average of 7.5 points. The Heat have every reason to put up a fight, but an early game in Toronto and a Raptors team that's deep and capable of blowouts, this doesn't feel like a game Miami is capable of getting up for to be honest.

Pick:
Toronto -7.5
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