Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors
|Date & Time||Sunday May 19, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Toronto Raptors -3 -- Over/Under: 220.5
The Milwaukee Bucks and Toronto Raptors meet Sunday in game three of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at the Scotiabank Arena.
The Milwaukee Bucks look for another victory to all but end this series while going up 3-0. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 116.8 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 101.5 points on 39.9 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 27.4 points and 12.1 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 17.7 points and six rebounds. Eric Bledsoe is the third double-digit scorer and Malcolm Brogdon is dishing four assists. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 74.4 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 52.8 rebounds per game. The Milwaukee Bucks have won all four postseason road games.
The Toronto Raptors need a victory here in order to have any shot of winning this series while cutting the deficit 2-1. The Toronto Raptors are averaging 103.3 points on 44.5 percent shooting and allowing 98.9 points on 41.6 percent shooting. Kawhi Leonard is averaging 31.7 points and 8.5 rebounds while Pascal Siakam is averaging 19.4 points and 6.7 rebounds. Kyle Lowry is the third double-digit scorer and Serge Ibaka is grabbing six rebounds. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 32.9 percent from beyond the arc and 82 percent from the free throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 30.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game. The Toronto Raptors have won five of their last six home games.
The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games, 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 road games and 41-18-2 ATS in their last 61 games overall. The Raptors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Conference Finals games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Bucks are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Toronto and 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The under is 11-4 in Raptors last 15 overall. The over is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 road games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have covered nine of their last 11 games as an underdog. The Toronto Raptors have split their last 14 games ATS as a favorite.
It always feels easy to back the team at home that's down 0-2 in a series, as it's a must-win game and you usually get a much better effort from the desperate team. However, the Bucks have been clearly the better team in this series over the last six quarters and are getting whatever they want offensively. The Raptors can be better defensively, but the lack of scoring consistency outside of Kawhi remains an issue. The Milwaukee Bucks are riding a six-game winning streak and are winning those games by an average of 15.8 points. The Bucks are 4-0 SU in road playoff games this year and have won those games by an average of 14.5 points. The Bucks are a hard team to bet against right now and just because we go from Milwaukee to Toronto doesn't change much. I'm taking my chances with the free bucket and the better team.