Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 5/21/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors
Tuesday, May 21, 2019 at 7:35 PM (Scotiabank Arena)
The Line: Toronto Raptors +2 -- Over/Under: 216
The Milwaukee Bucks and Toronto Raptors meet Tuesday in game four of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at the Scotiabank Arena.
The Milwaukee Bucks look to take a commanding 3-1 series lead to inch closer to an NBA Final berth. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 116.4 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 102.9 points on 39.8 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 26.1 points and 13 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 17 points and 6.3 rebounds. Malcolm Brogdon is the third double-digit scorer and Eric Bledsoe is dishing 4.4 assists. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 73.6 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 53.7 rebounds per game. The Milwaukee Bucks have won four of their five postseason road games.
The Toronto Raptors look for another victory to even up the series heading back too Milwaukee for game five. The Toronto Raptors are averaging 104.3 points on 44.1 percent shooting and allowing 99.8 points on 41.2 percent shooting. Kawhi Leonard is averaging 32 points and 8.5 rebounds while Pascal Siakam is averaging 19.8 points and seven rebounds. Kyle Lowry is the third double-digit scorer and Marc Gasol is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 33.3 percent from beyond the arc and 81.9 percent from the free throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game. The Toronto Raptors have won six of their last seven home games.
The Bucks are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 road games, 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 games playing on 1 days rest and 41-19-2 ATS in their last 62 games overall. The Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Toronto and 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The under is 11-5 in Raptors last 16 overall. The over is 13-6 in Bucks last 19 overall.
The Milwaukee Bucks have covered eight of their last nine games as a favorite. The Toronto Raptors have covered six of their last 10 games as an underdog.
The Milwaukee Bucks are probably the better team here and should be favored to win this series. Despite shooting just 37.3 percent from the field, the Bucks still had chances to win game three and probably do if Antetokounmpo didn't foul out early in the second overtime. With all that said, the Raptors as an underdog at home is tough to pass up. The Raptors were much more physical in gam three and will likely bring that to this contest as well, and they're a much more dangerous, balanced team if Siakam and Norman Powell can build on what they did on Sunday. I don't see why the Raptors go from being three-point favorites in game three to two-point underdogs in game four, unless the Kawhi (injury?) is more serious than we're being told. Give me the Raptors and the free bucket.