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Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 5/25/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors
Date & Time Saturday May 25, 2019, 8:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Scotiabank Arena
Toronto, ON
The Line
The Line: Toronto -2.5 -- Over/Under 212.5
TV Channel
TNT
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The Milwaukee Bucks look to stave off elimination against the Toronto Raptors in Game 6 at the Scotiabank Arena on Saturday.

The Milwaukee Bucks were looking pretty good after winning the first two games of the series, but they're suddenly playing for their lives after falling to the Raptors in a 105-99 home loss in Game 5. Giannis Antetokounmpo didn't quite have the big game the Bucks needed as he finished with just 24 points and six assists, Eric Bledsoe scored 20 points while Malcolm Brogdon had a big game of 18 points with 11 rebounds and six assists. As a team, the Bucks shot 45 percent from the field and 10 of 31 from the 3-point line as they stormed out to an early 14-point lead, before the Raptors rallied to trail by just three points at halftime. The game could've really gone either way from that point, but the Bucks let themselves down defensively in the fourth quarter where they allowed the Raptors to pour in 33 points to steal the game and home-court advantage.

Meanwhile, the Toronto Raptors didn't panic after dropping the first two games of the series and are now just one win away from a ticket to the NBA Finals. Kawhi Leonard has been sensational for the Raptors and he led the way with another big game of 35 points with seven rebounds and a career-high nine assists. Fred VanVleet drained seven 3-pointers to provide the spark off the bench with 21 points, Kyle Lowry added 17 points with six assists while Pascal Siakam chipped in with 14 points, 13 rebounds and three blocks. As a team, the Raptors shot just 36 percent from the field and 18 of 43 from the 3-point line as they rallied back from an early 14-point deficit to steal the game late as they turned to Leonard who shot five of nine from the 3-point line and eight of nine from the free-throw line. 

Looking at the betting trends, the Bucks are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following a loss, 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games on one days rest and 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 home games against a team with a winning road record. 

Head to head, the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, the over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Toronto and the underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall.

It's great to see the Raptors' role players step up to support Leonard who has just been on fire in these playoffs, because now they're just one win away from an invite to the big dance. The Bucks couldn't get over the line in Game 5 with Giannis finishing with a quiet game of just 24 points, but they need him now more than ever as their season hangs in the balance. This one could go either way, but the Bucks have yet to win on the road in this series and I don't see that changing with the Raptors' supporting cast now stepping up. If this one is close late, I'd rather my money be on Leonard to get the Raptors over the line.

Pick:
Toronto -2.5
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