Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors
|Date & Time||Sunday May 12, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Toronto Raptors -6.5 -- Over/Under: 207
The Philadelphia 76ers and Toronto Raptors meet Sunday in game seven of the NBA playoffs second round at the Scotiabank Arena.
The Philadelphia 76ers look for another victory to make their first conference finals since the 2000-01 season. The Philadelphia 76ers are averaging 110.4 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 106.9 points on 43.4 percent shooting. Joel Embiid is averaging 20.1 points and 10.4 rebounds while Jimmy Butler is averaging 19.7 points and 5.5 assists. Tobias Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Ben Simmons is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Philadelphia 76ers are shooting 33.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free throw line. The Philadelphia 76ers are allowing 31.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.2 rebounds per game. The Philadelphia 76ers have won three of their last five road games.
The Toronto Raptors look for a victory to make the conference finals for the second time in the last four years. The Toronto Raptors are averaging 104.6 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 96.5 points on 41.1 percent shooting. Kawhi Leonard is averaging 31 points and 8.5 rebounds while Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.6 points and 6.9 rebounds. Kyle Lowry is the third double-digit scorer and Danny Green is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.7 percent from the free throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 31.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.2 rebounds per game. The Toronto Raptors have won four of their last five home games.
The 76ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Raptors are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. The 76ers are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Toronto and 7-16 ATS in the last 23 meetings. The under is 9-3 in Raptors last 12 overall. The under is 6-2 in 76ers last 8 overall.
The Philadelphia 76ers have split their last 14 games ATS as a road underdog. The Toronto Raptors have covered six of their last eight games as a home favorite.
It's really tough to get a feel for this series due to not knowing which 76ers team is going to show up. One night you get a fully engaged Embiid and aggressive Simmons, and the next night they're passive and seem to not care whether they win or lose. It makes betting this series nearly impossible. So, I'm going to play the total and side with the over 207 points. This series is averaging 203.5 points, and that's with the 76ers laying eggs in three of those games, mainly game five. Assuming we'll get another aggressive 76ers performance where they push the pace and look to drive the basketball, this game should go over the reasonable total. This is easily the lowest total of the series, and it seems to be a bit of an overreaction to the under trends for both sides.