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Utah Jazz vs. Houston Rockets - 5/4/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Houston Rockets (70-18) at Utah Jazz (52-37)
Date & Time Friday May 4, 2018, 10:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Utah Jazz +4 -- Over/Under: 207
TV Channel
ESPN
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NBA | Houston Rockets (70-18) at Utah Jazz (52-37)
Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Rockets and Utah Jazz meet Friday in game three of the Western Conference playoffs at the Vivint Smart Home Arena.

The Houston Rockets look for a bounce back performance to regain home court advantage and take a 2-1 series lead. The Houston Rockets are averaging 110 points on 43.9 percent shooting and allowing 102.9 points on 47.4 percent shooting. James Harden is averaging 31.1 points and 7.9 assists while Chris Paul is averaging 19.3 points and six assists. Clint Capela is the third double-digit scorer and Eric Gordon is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 76.4 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 41.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game. The Houston Rockets have split their last six road games.

The Utah Jazz hope to ride the wave of momentum and take a quick 2-1 series lead. The Utah Jazz are averaging 104.1 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 102.4 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 27.4 points and three assists while Joe Ingles is averaging 14.3 points and 3.9 rebounds. Rudy Gobert is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick Favors is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Utah Jazz are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 67.4 percent from the free throw line. The Utah Jazz are allowing 39 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game. The Utah Jazz have won seven straight home games.

The Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. Western Conference, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 vs. NBA Northwest. The Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest. The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

The Houston Rockets aren't going to shoot as poorly as they did in their game two loss, and the Utah Jazz probably aren'g going to make 15 threes again. However, there is something to be said about the Jazz outscoring the Rockets in five of the last six quarters. The Jazz are geting quality looks from the outside and are fresh off a game in which they killed Houston in the paint. The Jazz are also forcing the Rockets into tough outside shots, as they clog driving lanes and force the kick out. The Jazz have also thrived in the underdog role, which includes winning outright six of their last nine games in which they were underdogs of at least four points. The Rockets are just 2-3-1 ATS in their last six road games as a favorite of at least four points. While the Rockets are the more talented team, we may have a series on our hands. I'll take the points.

Pick:
Utah Jazz +4

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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