Washington Wizards vs. Denver Nuggets - 3/21/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington Wizards vs. Denver Nuggets - 3/21/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by

Denver Nuggets at Washington Wizards

Thursday, March 21, 2019 at 6:00 PM (Capital One Arena)

The Line: Washington Wizards +6.5 -- Over/Under: 228.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Denver Nuggets and Washington Wizards meet Thursday in NBA action at the Capital One Arena.

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The Denver Nuggets look to stay hot after winning five of their last six games. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 112 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 107 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 20.3 points and 10.7 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 18.2 points and 4.8 assists. Gary Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing 7.2 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 75.6 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.7 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have lost five of their last eight road games.

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The Washington Wizards could use a win here after splitting their last 10 games. The Washington Wizards are averaging 114.4 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 116.9 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Bradley Beal is averaging 26 points and 5.2 rebounds while Jabari Parker is averaging 14.4 points and 6.6 rebounds. Bobby Portis is the third double-digit scorer and Trevor Ariza is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Washington Wizards are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free throw line. The Washington Wizards are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.7 rebounds per game. The Washington Wizards have won five of their last seven home games.

The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games. The Wizards are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Washington and the under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington. The under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 overall. The under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 overall.

The Denver Nuggets aren't the same team on the road as they are at home, as they lose by an average of 1.4 points and allow 46.2 percent shooting from the field. And even with covers in four of their last five road games, the Nuggets are still 14-19 ATS overall. The Washington Wizards may not have a ton of positive results, but they continue to compete on a nightly basis, especially at home where they win by an average of three points and are 22-13 ATS. I'm just not comfortable laying decent sized chalk with the Nuggets on the road given the drop off in production when compared to what they do at home. Give me the points and the home team.

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Randy’s Pick Washington Wizards +6.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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