Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings - 9/8/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, September 8, 2019 at 12:00 PM (U.S. Bank Stadium)
The Line: Minnesota Vikings -4 -- Over/Under: 47
The Atlanta Falcons and Minnesota Vikings meet Sunday in NFL action at U.S. Bank Stadium.
The Atlanta Falcons hope to bounce back from a seven-win season, the lowest total through four years with Dan Quinn at head coach. The Atlanta Falcons have split their last six road games. The Atlanta Falcons have split their last six regular season openers. The Atlanta Falcons finished last year ranked sixth in offensive yards per game and 10th in points per game. Defensively, the Falcons finished 25th in points allowed and 28th in yards allowed. The Atlanta Falcons are loaded on both sides of the ball, especially offensively where it’s tough to find a better group of playmakers across the board. The issue for the Falcons comes on defense, as there’s oodles of talent and great pass rushers, but the numbers didn’t reflect that last season. The Falcons should have a chip on their shoulder and are a legit Super Bowl contender if everything comes together.
The Minnesota Vikings have won no less than eight games each of the last four years and hope this year can get them back in the playoffs. The Minnesota Vikings have won five of their last eight home games. The Minnesota Vikings have won four of their last five regular season openers. The Minnesota Vikings finished last year ranked 20th in offensive yards per game and 19th in points per game. Defensively, the Vikings finished ninth in points allowed and fourth in yards allowed. The Minnesota Vikings have a defense that’s good enough to lead them to the promised land and their home field is as good as it gets. It’s a matter of Kirk Cousins taking better care of the football and showing up in big games. The Vikings check a lot of boxes when looking at teams capable of making a deep run, but Cousins is often hit or miss and can make the critical mistake far more than you’d like.
The Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Vikings are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in September, 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1. The Falcons are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings and the road team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games in September.
The Atlanta Falcons have failed to cover six of their last eight games as a road underdog. The Minnesota Vikings are 4-2-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite. The Vikings are so tough to bet against at home where that crowd gets incredibly loud and the defense feeds off that energy. And while a win and cover could be in the cards for the Vikings, I have a hard time leaving points on the table with a Falcons team that's Super Bowl good. This healthy Falcons team is going to surprise some folks and that defense is lightyears better than what they showed last year. I want the points with the Falcons.