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Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers - 10/30/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Green Bay Packers (4-2) at Atlanta Falcons (4-3)
Date & Time Sunday October 30, 2016, 4:25 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Atlanta Falcons -2.5 -- Over/Under: 52.5
TV Channel
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NFL | Green Bay Packers (4-2) at Atlanta Falcons (4-3)

We’ve got a great NFC matchup coming in Week 8 of the NFL on Sunday, October 30 as the Green Bay Packers travel to meet the Atlanta Falcons at the Georgia Dome. 

The Packers enter this game with a decent 4-2 record on the season, and are fresh off a 26-10 win over the Bears last Thursday. In that one, Packers QB Aaron Rodgers with 39-of-56 for 326 yards and three touchdowns in a bounce-back performance, while Ty Montgomery was the leading rusher on nine carries for 60 yards. Davante Adams led the Packers in receiving with 13 catches for 132 yards and a pair of scores. 

So far this year, Rodgers is 148-of-237 for 1496 yards and 13 scores, while Eddie Lacy leads Green Bay in rushing on 71 attempts for 360 yards. Randall Cobb is tops in the receiving game for the Packers with 39 catches, 388 yards and two touchdowns. 

On the Falcons’ side, they’re coming in with a 4-3 record this year and have lost their last two games. In that most recent defeat, Atlanta fell 33-30 in overtime to the Chargers. Falcons QB Matt Ryan had a tepid day on 22-of-34 passing for 273 yards, a TD and a pick, and RB Tevin Coleman led the ground attack on eight carries for 64 yards and a TD. Julio Jones continued his dominant run for the Falcons through the air with nine receptions for 174 yards. 

On the season thus far, Ryan is sitting on a 165-of-244 mark for 2348 yards and 16 touchdowns, and Devonta Freeman leads the Falcons in rushing with 105 attempts, 508 yards and two touchdowns. Jones is way out front of the other Atlanta receivers on 40 receptions, 830 yards and four scores. 

The Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game, and 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games in October. Green Bay is also 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games, and 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. 

Meanwhile, the Falcons are 4-0 ATS versus a team with a winning record, and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. Atlanta is also 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 8, and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games versus the NFC. 

The Packers got some mojo back with a big win over a bad Bears team last week, but haven’t fared well against elite competition this year. In their two losses to the Cowboys and Vikings, the Packers have scored a combined 30 points while allowing 47. Both games were flat-out embarrassing for the Green Bay offense. Conversely, the Falcons have scored at least 23 points in every game they’ve been in this year, including 54 in their most recent two losses. I think Atlanta is simply too good of an offensive team to lose this game, and Green Bay won’t be able to keep up with their depleted stable of running backs and a sharply declining Aaron Rodgers. Give me the Falcons.

Atlanta Falcons -2.5

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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