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Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers - 9/17/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Green Bay Packers (1-0) at Atlanta Falcons (1-0)
Date & Time Sunday September 17, 2017, 8:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Atlanta Falcons -2.5 -- Over/Under: 53.5
TV Channel
NBC
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NFL | Green Bay Packers (1-0) at Atlanta Falcons (1-0)
USA TODAY Sports

The Green Bay Packers and Atlanta Falcons meet Sunday in NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on NBC.

The Green Bay Packers look for a statement victory after beating the Seattle Seahawks, 17-9. The Green Bay Packers have won three straight road games. Aaron Rodgers is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 311 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Rodgers has at least one touchdown pass in 14 straight games. Randall Cobb and Jordy Nelson have combined for 164 receiving yards and one touchdown while Davante Adams has three receptions. The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 84 yards per contest, and Ty Montgomery leads the way with 54 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing nine points and 225 yards per game. Quinten Rollins leads the Green Bay Packers with eight tackles, Mike Daniels has 1.5 sacks and Damarious Randall has one pass deflection.

The Atlanta Falcons also look for a quick 2-0 start after beating the Chicago Bears, 23-17. The Atlanta Falcons have won four of their last five home games. Matt Ryan is completing 70 percent of his passes for 321 yards, one touchdown and zero interceptions. Ryan has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last seven games. Austin Hooper and Julio Jones have combined for 194 receiving yards and one touchdown while Mohamed Sanu has six receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 64 yards per contest, and Devonta Freeman leads the way with 37 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 17 points and 301 yards per game. Deion Jones leads the Atlanta Falcons with seven tackles, Brooks Reed has two sacks and Robert Alford has three pass deflections.

The Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 2. The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

The Atlanta Falcons smoked the Packers boots when these teams met in the playoffs last season, and it's hard seeing this game being much different. Last week, Rodgers spent the whole game running for his life due to an offensive line that couldn't hold up, and we're sure to see a lot of that in this game against an athletic, aggressive Falcons defense. While everybody will be oohing and aahing over the offensive talent, it's the Falcons defense and ability to pressure the QB that makes the difference for me in this contest. Not to mention it is the opening of Mercedes-Benz Stadium, so the place is going to be jacked up on another level, giving players an even extra boost of energy. 

The Falcons should win and cover this small line. 

Pick:
Atlanta Falcons -2.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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