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Atlanta Falcons vs. Philadelphia Eagles - 9/15/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons
Date & Time Sunday September 15, 2019, 8:20 PM (EDT)
Location
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta, Georgia
The Line
The Line: Atlanta Falcons +1 -- Over/Under: 51
TV Channel
NBC
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James Lang-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Eagles and Atlanta Falcons meet Sunday in NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

The Philadelphia Eagles look for a statement victory after just getting by the Washington Redskins as double-digit favorites. The Philadelphia Eagles have split their last six road games. Carson Wentz is completing 71.8 percent of his passes for 313 yards, three touchdowns and zero interceptions. Wentz has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last eight games. Desean Jackson and Zach Ertz have combined for 208 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Alshon Jeffery has five receptions. The Philadelphia Eagles ground game is averaging 123 yards per contest, and Darren Sproles leads the way with 47 yards on nine carries. Defensively, Philadelphia is allowing 27 points and 398 yards per game. Nigel Bradham leads the Philadelphia Eagles with seven tackles, Tim Jernigan has one sack and Ronald Darby has two pass deflections.

The Atlanta Falcons need a bounce back performance after getting rocked by the Minnesota Vikings. The Atlanta Falcons have split their last eight home games. Matt Ryan is completing 71.7 percent of his passes for 304 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Ryan has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 10 games. Austin Hooper and Calvin Ridley have combined for 141 receiving yards and one touchdown while Mohamed Sanu has five receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 73 yards per contest, and Ito Smith leads the way with 31 yards on six carries. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 28 points and 269 yards per game. Tyeler Davison leads the Atlanta Falcons with eight tackles, Grady Jarrett has one sack and Takkarist McKinley has one tackle for loss.

The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Eagles are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 meetings and the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 9-3 in Falcons last 12 games in September. The under is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 road games.

The Philadelphia Eagles have split their last 12 games ATS as a road favorite. The Atlanta Falcons have covered seven of their last eight games as a home underdog and have won outright five of those last six games. I understand the Falcons have some injuries along their offensive line, as Chris Lindstrom broke his foot and Matt Gono is questionable with a back injury, but this line still doesn't make sense. The Falcons are a very good football team on both sides of the ball and will play much better at home than they did last week on the road. The Philadelphia Eagles nearly lost as double-digit favorites to the Redskins, and they seem to play down to their competition far more than people talk about. There's very few teams that should be favored over the Falcons at home in a primetime spot, and I don't think the Eagles are one of those teams. Give me the Falcons and the ML. You can keep the point. 

Pick:
Atlanta Falcons ML

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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