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Baltimore Ravens at Los Angeles Chargers - 12/22/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Baltimore Ravens (8-6) at Los Angeles Chargers (11-3)
Date & Time Saturday December 22, 2018, 8:20 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Los Angeles Chargers -4.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5
TV Channel
NFL
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NFL | Baltimore Ravens (8-6) at Los Angeles Chargers (11-3)
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers meet Saturday in NFL action at ROKiT Field at StubHub Center.

The Baltimore Ravens look for another victory after winning four of their last five games to stay in the thick of the AFC playoff race. The Baltimore Ravens have split their last six road games. Lamar Jackson is completing 58.9 percent of his passes for 818 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions. Jackson enters this game with 124 career pass attempts under his belt. John Brown and Willie Snead IV have combined for 1,307 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Michael Crabtree has 51 receptions. The Baltimore Ravens ground game is averaging 141.9 yards per contest, and Jackson leads the way with 566 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing 18.1 points and 290.2 yards per game. C.J. Mosley leads the Baltimore Ravens with 91 tackles, Za'Darius Smith has seven sacks and Brandon Carr has one interception.

The Los Angeles Chargers look to build on their four-game winning streak to chase a top seed in the AFC. The Los Angeles Chargers have won four of their last five home games. Philip Rivers is completing 69.4 percent of his passes for 3,951 yards, 31 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Rivers has two or more touchdown passes in 14 of his last 15 games. Keenan Allen and Tyrell Williams have combined for 1,692 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Mike Williams has 37 receptions. The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 121.9 yards per contest, and Melvin Gordon leads the way with 802 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 21.3 points and 329.1 yards per game. Derwin James leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 93 tackles, Melvin Ingram has seven sacks and Desmond King has three interceptions.

The Ravens are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass, 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 home games. The under is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 games on grass.

The Baltimore Ravens have allowed no more than 21 points in four of their five games since their bye week and four of their last five losses have been decided by seven or less points. The Los Angeles Chargers quietly remain the most balanced and consistent team in the league, but their last three victories have been decided by an average of three points. The Baltimore Ravens are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games when an underdog of at least three points. The Los Angeles Chargers have split their last 10 games ATS when a favorite of at least three points. The numbers suggest taking the Ravens and the points, but I still don't trust their offense, a unit that lacks a passing attack and has put them in some close games against subpar teams. The Los Angeles Chargers are the most balanced team in the league, as they not only have weapons on offense but a defense that can go toe-to-toe with any in the league. Melvin Gordon is also expected to return for the Chargers. I'll take the Chargers by a touchdown.

Pick:
Los Angeles Chargers -4.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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