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Broncos vs. Raiders - 12/28/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Oakland Raiders (3-12) at Denver Broncos (11-4)
Date & Time Sunday December 28, 2014, 4:25 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Denver Broncos -14 -- Over/Under: 48
TV Channel
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NFL | Oakland Raiders (3-12) at Denver Broncos (11-4)

The Denver Broncos and the Oakland Raiders close out their 2-14 NFL regular seasons on Sunday in Denver with an AFC West matchup.

The Denver Broncos are back in the playoffs and are the AFC West champions but they are looking to clinch a first round bye with a win here. The Broncos offense is averaging 29 points and 399.7 yards per game, both ranking fourth in the NFL, and they are led by QB Peyton Manning who has completed 66.8 percent of his passes with 39 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. C.J. Anderson is the Broncos leading rusher with 62 yards and five touchdowns and Demaryius Thomas has 103 catches and 11 touchdowns and Emmanuel Sanders has 95 catches and nine touchdowns. The Broncos defense allows 22.7 points and 312.3 yards per game and they are plus four in turnover ratio. Brandon Marshall has 113 tackles, T.J. Ward has 74 tackles, and Von Miller has 13 sacks. The Broncos are desperate to get back to the Super Bowl to avenge last year’s blowout loss to Seattle.

The Oakland Raiders have once again had an awful season and at 3-12 are looking at a top five pick at worst in the next NFL Draft. The Raiders offense is averaging 15.9 points and 287.7 yards per game and have been led by QB Derek Carr who has completed 58.6 percent of his passes for 20 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Darren McFadden has rushed for 521 yards and two touchdowns and James Jones is Oakland’s leading receiver with 71 catches. The Raiders defense allows 27 points and 351.3 yards per game and they are a dreadful minus 14 in turnover ratio. Charles Woodson has 1-6 tackles, Mike Burris has 104 tackles, and Sio Moore has 90 tackles. The Raiders have been competitive on occasion but the general results have been losses.

Denver is 4-0 against the spread against the NFC West, 8-1 against the spread following a loss, and 11-4 against the spread against a team with a losing record. Oakland is 4-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 1-7-1 against the spread following a win, and 18-37-1 against the spread following a game that they covered the spread. The road team is 16-5-1 against the spread in the last 22 meetings of these two.

The line makes this one tough and I just have to believe that the turnovers make the difference and Denver wins going away I the second half. 

Denver Broncos -14

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