New Orleans Saints (6-2) at Buffalo Bills (5-3)
|Date & Time||Sunday November 12, 2017, 1:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: Buffalo Bills +2.5 -- Over/Under: 46
The New Orleans Saints and Buffalo Bills meet Sunday in NFL action at New Era Field.
The New Orleans Saints look to keep the ball rolling while building on their incredible six-game winning streak. The New Orleans Saints have won three straight road games. Drew Brees is completing 71.6 percent of his passes for 2,214 yards, 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. Brees has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last seven games. Michael Thomas and Ted Ginn Jr. have combined for 1,025 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Alvin Kamara has 37 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 122.8 yards per contest, and Mark Ingram leads the way with 541 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 19.4 points and 326.6 yards per game. A.J. Klein leads the New Orleans Saints with 41 tackles, Cameron Jordan has seven sacks and Kenny Vaccaro has three interceptions.
The Buffalo Bills also look to stay hot and undefeated at home after winning four of their last six games overall. The Buffalo Bills have won six of their last eight home games. Tyrod Taylor is completing 65.3 percent of his passes for 1,628 yards, 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. Taylor has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last seven games. Charles Clay and LeSean McCoy have combined for 500 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Jordan Matthews has 21 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 116.9 yards per contest, and McCoy leads the way with 546 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 18.6 points and 344.6 yards per game. Preston Brown leads the Buffalo Bills with 64 tackles, Jerry Hughes has three sacks and Micah Hyde has five interceptions.
The Saints are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and the favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The over is 14-6 in Bills last 20 games overall and the under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games overall.
This should be a fun game between two teams that have surpassed expectations regardless of what happens down the stretch. With that said, I'm taking the Buffalo Bills and the points here at home. One, the Bills have had a mini bye week after playing last Thursday, which has given Clay, E.J. Gaines and Zay Jones a chance to get healthy and back on the field. There's also the weather factor, as the Saints are a dome team used to playing half their games with no issues, and it's expected to be low 40s with possible rain on Sunday. That favors Buffalo and it's physical style of play. The Saints have also had a lot of luck facing backups or subpar quarterbacks this season, and that won't be the case here. I'll take the Bills and the free points in a game I think they win outright.