Carolina Panthers at Houston Texans - 9/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Carolina Panthers at Houston Texans - 9/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by

Houston Texans vs. Carolina Panthers

Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 12:00 PM (NRG Stadium )

The Line: Houston Texans -4 -- Over/Under: 47.5

TV: FOX

The Carolina Panthers and Houston Texans meet Sunday in NFL action at NRG Stadium.

The Carolina Panthers look for another road victory to get back to a .500 record. The Carolina Panthers have lost four of their last six road games. Kyle Allen is completing 73.1 percent of his passes for 261 yards, four touchdowns and zero interceptions. Allen enters this game with 57 career pass attempts under his belt. Greg Olsen and DJ Moore have combined for 438 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Curtis Samuel has 13 receptions. The Carolina Panthers ground game is averaging 113 yards per contest, and Christian McCaffrey leads the way with 318 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Carolina is allowing 23.3 points and 295.3 yards per game. Luke Kuechly leads the Carolina Panthers with 36 tackles, Mario Addison has 3.5 sacks and Donte Jackson has two interceptions.

The Houston Texans look for a third straight win to build on their lead in the AFC South. The Houston Texans have won seven of their last eight home games. Deshaun Watson is completing 65.6 percent of his passes for 778 yards, six touchdowns and one interception. Watson has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 12 games. DeAndre Hopkins and Kenny Stills have combined for 382 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Will Fuller V has 11 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 115 yards per contest, and Carlos Hyde leads the way with 192 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Houston is allowing 20.7 points and 385.7 yards per game. Johnathan Joseph leads the Houston Texans with 23 tackles, Whitney Mercilus has four sacks and Tashaun Gipson Sr. has two pass deflections.

The Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win, 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win, 3-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 4. The under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games in September.

The Carolina Panthers have split their last eight games ATS as a road underdog. The Houston Texans have split their last eight games ATS as a home favorite. The Carolina Panthers looked good last week against the Arizona Cardinals, but it's the Arizona Cardinals. That game also gave the Texans more film on Allen, so we could see the youngster struggle a bit in this game. The Texans are coming off a big underdog victory on the road against the Chargers, the type of win that could light the spark to the remainder of the season. I'm also not concerned about a letdown, as there's too many veteran and confident players on this Texans roster to get caught in such a trap. These Texans are slowly starting to grow on me. I'll lay the reasonable chalk. 

Randy’s Pick Houston Texans -4

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.