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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts - 10/29/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Indianapolis Colts (2-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-4)
Date & Time Sunday October 29, 2017, 1:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Cincinnati Bengals -10 -- Over/Under: 41
TV Channel
CBS
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NFL | Indianapolis Colts (2-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-4)
USA TODAY Sports

Over at Paul Brown Stadium on Sunday, we’ve got an AFC battle in the NFL as the Indianapolis Colts take on the Cincinnati Bengals. 

The Colts are sitting at 2-5 on the year, recording wins over Cleveland and San Francisco while falling to the Rams, Cardinals, Seahawks, Titans and Jaguars. In that Jags game, Indy QB Jacoby Brissett went 22-of-37 for 200 yards and was sacked a whopping 10 times. 

On the season so far, Brissett has 1409 yards, three TDs and three INTs, and Frank Gore is the lead Colts rusher on 322 yards and two TDs from 94 attempts. TY Hilton tops the Indianapolis receivers on 512 yards and one TD from 48 targets and 27 catches. 

Over on the Bengals’ side, they’re sitting at 2-4 so far, and had a two-win string snapped by the Steelers in their last outing 29-14. In that Pittsburgh game, Bengals QB Andy Dalton threw for 140 yards, two touchdowns and two picks, and Joe Mixon led a tepid rush on seven carries for 48 yards. 

This year, Dalton has managed 1360 yards, nine touchdowns and eight interceptions, while Mixon is the top Bengals rusher on 235 yards and one TD off 74 attempts. AJ Green is the leading Cincinnati receiver on his 545 yards and three TDs from 57 targets and 35 receptions. 

The Colts are 27-10 ATS versus a team with a losing record and 30-11 ATS in their last 41 games following a straight-up loss. Indianapolis is also 1-5 ATS in their last six versus the AFC and 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. 

Meanwhile, the Bengals are 4-1 ATS in the last five games in Week 8 and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a losing road record. Cincinnati is also 11-4 ATS versus a team with a losing record and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up loss. 

Even in the face of a strong Jags pass rush, giving up double-digit sacks in one game is simply inexcusable. That seems to be a running theme for the Colts, however, as the team continues to find new and exciting ways to disappoint following their first shutout (27-0) since 2003. As for Cincy, they’re not doing a whole lot of things right either. Mixon and Jeremy Hill both average just 3.2 YPC, and the team has scored just one rushing touchdown all year. That negates a Bengals defense that had been pretty good overall until that Steelers game. There’s plenty to pick at on both sides here, but a thick spread like this just seems a bit much. I’ll take the Colts to eke in there and cover.

Pick:
Indianapolis Colts +10

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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