Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams - 1/12/19 NFL - NFC Divisional Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams
Saturday, January 12, 2019 at 8:15 PM (Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum)
The Line: Los Angeles Rams -7 -- Over/Under: 50
The Dallas Cowboys and Los Angeles Rams meet Saturday in the NFL NFC Divisional playoff round at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.
The Dallas Cowboys are coming off a win over the Seattle Seahawks and have a chance to make the conference championship for the first time since 1995. The Dallas Cowboys have split their last six road games. Dak Prescott is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 3,885 yards, 22 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Prescott has one or less touchdown passes in 13 of his last 19 games. Amari Cooper and Cole Beasley have combined for 1,397 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Ezekiel Elliott has 77 receptions. The Dallas Cowboys ground game is averaging 122.7 yards per contest, and Elliott leads the way with 1,434 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 20.3 points and 329.3 yards per game. Leighton Vander Esch leads the Dallas Cowboys with 140 tackles, DeMarcus Lawrence has 10.5 sacks and Xavier Woods has two interceptions.
The Los Angeles Rams have won five of their last seven games and can make a conference championship for the first time since 2001. The Los Angeles Rams have won seven of their last eight home games. Jared Goff is completing 64.9 percent of his passes for 4,688 yards, 32 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Goff has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 13 games. Robert Woods and Brandin Cooks have combined for 2,423 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Todd Gurley II has 59 receptions. The Los Angeles Rams ground game is averaging 138.4 yards per contest, and Gurley leads the way with 1,251 yards and 17 touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 24 points and 358.6 yards per game. Cory Littleton leads the Los Angeles Rams with 125 tackles, Aaron Donald has 20.5 sacks and John Johnson III has four interceptions.
The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in January. The Rams are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. The over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 home games. The under is 22-7 in Cowboys last 29 road games.
The Dallas Cowboys are arguably the hottest team in the playoffs with wins in eight of their last nine games and have a defense that's allowed 23 or less points in eight of those nine games. The Los Angeles Rams are well rested for this contest and are averaging 34 points in their last three games. The Dallas Cowboys have covered eight of their last 10 games when an underdog of at least seven points. The Los Angeles Rams have split their last eight games when a favorite of at least seven points. The Rams are clearly the better team and have an offense that can bury the Cowboys if they get loose. However, I haven't been as high on the Rams as everybody else has been all season long. The Rams have been in constant close games all season long and have covered just one of their last six home games. The Cowboys have the formula to win on the road in the playoffs, as they play defense, run the ball and have a quarterback who has thrown one or less interceptions in 11 of his last 13 games. I like the other NFL games more than this one, but if I had to pick, I'd side with the Cowboys and the free touchdown. I just don't think the Rams are as good as everybody keeps telling me they are.