Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints - 9/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys
Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 7:20 PM (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)
The Line: New Orleans Saints +2.5 -- Over/Under: 47
The Dallas Cowboys and New Orleans Saints meet Sunday in NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
The Dallas Cowboys look for another victory for their first 4-0 start since 2007. The Dallas Cowboys have split their last eight road games. Dak Prescott is completing 74.5 percent of his passes for 920 yards, nine touchdowns and two interceptions. Prescott has three or more touchdown passes in four of his last seven games. Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup have combined for 464 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Randall Cobb has 11 receptions. The Dallas Cowboys ground game is averaging 179 yards per contest, and Ezekiel Elliott leads the way with 289 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 14.7 points and 336 yards per game. Jaylen Smith leads the Dallas Cowboys with 27 tackles, DeMarcus Lawrence has 1.5 sacks and Jeff Heath has four pass deflections.
The New Orleans Saints look for their second home win to keep pace in the NFC South. The New Orleans Saints have won seven of their last eight home games. Teddy Bridgewater is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 342 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions. Bridgewater has 82 pass attempts since the 2017 season. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara have combined for 445 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Ted Ginn Jr. has nine receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 97.7 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 211 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 27.3 points and 436 yards per game. Vonn Bell leads the New Orleans Saints with 21 tackles, Trey Hendrickson has three sacks and Marcus Williams has one interception.
The Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New Orleans and the underdog is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings. The under is 8-2 in Saints last 10 vs. NFC. The over is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games overall.
The Dallas Cowboys are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight road games as a favorite. The New Orleans Saints have covered nine of their last 13 games as a home underdog, and eight of those covers were outright victories. You have to give the Saints credit for beating Seattle on the road with a backup quarterback and the more reps Bridgewater gets, the better he should be. The Mercedes-Benz Superdome is also one of the toughest venues in all of sports to play as a visiting team, especially during primetime when everybody has had time to warm up the vocal cords. However, the Cowboys have been arguably the most balanced team in the league through three games and if they're truly ready to take that next step as Super Bowl contenders, they win this game on the road against a backup quarterback. No excuses. I'll lay the small chalk with the road team here, as these Cowboys seem a little different than past years.