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Dallas Cowboys vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - 10/14/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-2) at Dallas Cowboys (2-3)
Date & Time Sunday October 14, 2018, 4:25 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Dallas Cowboys +3 -- Over/Under: 45
TV Channel
CBS
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NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars (3-2) at Dallas Cowboys (2-3)
Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Dallas Cowboys meet Sunday in NFL action at AT&T Stadium.

The Jacksonville Jaguars look for their second road victory of the season to keep pace in the AFC South. The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost four of their last five road games. Blake Bortles is completing 61.6 percent of his passes for 1,525 yards, eight touchdowns and seven interceptions. Bortles has one or less touchdown passes in six of his last 12 games. Dede Westbrook and Keelan Cole have combined for 644 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Donte Moncrief has 18 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 111 yards per contest, and T.J. Yeldon leads the way with 258 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 17.2 points and 292.2 yards per game. Telvin Smith leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 39 tackles, Calais Campbell has three sacks and Myles Jack has one interception.

The Dallas Cowboys look to remain undefeated at home while getting back to a .500 record. The Dallas Cowboys have split their last eight home games. Dak Prescott is completing 61.8 percent of his passes for 961 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. Prescott has one or less touchdown passes in seven of his last eight games. Cole Beasley and Geoff Swaim have combined for 352 receiving yards and one touchdown while Ezekiel Elliott has 22 receptions. The Dallas Cowboys ground game is averaging 135.8 yards per contest, and Elliott leads the way with 480 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 19.2 points and 337.4 yards per game. Jaylon Smith leads the Dallas Cowboys with 41 tackles, DeMarcus Lawrence has 5.5 sacks and Xavier Woods has one interception.

The Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in October, 3-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 6. The underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. The under is 12-2 in Cowboys last 14 games overall and the under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 road games.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have allowed 20 or less points in four of their five games and are easily the best defense in the league from a talent stand point. The Dallas Cowboys are 28th in total yards per game, 28th in total passing yards and despite averaging a second-best 5.2 yards per carry, they have just two rushing touchdowns on 130 attempts. Prescott has shown time and time again that he's not a difference maker at the QB position and this Cowboys offensive line isn't as good as its been in years past. When you see the Cowboys struggles and lack of talent offensively, you have to seriously question how they're going to move the ball in this contest. Yes, the Jaguars offense isn't much better and I'm not trying to back Bortles on the road anymore than you are, but the Jags defense vs. Cowboys offense is such a mismatch that I'm surprised the line is this low. Give me the Jags and the small chalk. 

Pick:
Jacksonville Jaguars -3

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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