Denver Broncos vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - 9/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Denver Broncos vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, September 29, 2019 at 3:25 PM (Empower Field at Mile High)
The Line: Denver Broncos -3 -- Over/Under: 38.5
The Jacksonville Jaguars and Denver Broncos meet Sunday in NFL action at Empower Field at Mile High.
The Jacksonville Jaguars look for their first road victory to get back to a .500 record. The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost seven of their last eight road games. Gardner Minshew is completing 73.9 percent of his passes for 692 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. Minshew enters this game with 88 career pass attempts under his belt. DJ Chark and Chris Conley have combined for 477 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Leonard Fournette has 14 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 90.7 yards per contest, and Fournette leads the way with 179 yards on 43 carries. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 20 points and 364.7 yards per game. Ronnie Harrison leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 24 tackles, Calais Campbell has three sacks and A.J. Bouye has two pass deflections.
The Denver Broncos need a victory here to save their season and avoid an 0-4 record. The Denver Broncos have lost their last three home games. Joe Flacco is completing 69.1 percent of his passes for 773 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Flacco has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last 10 games. Courtland Sutton and Emmanuel Sanders have combined for 441 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Phillip Lindsay has 12 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 111.3 yards per contest, and Royce Freeman leads the way with 173 yards on 36 carries. Defensively, Denver is allowing 22.3 points and 314 yards per game. Josey Jewell leads the Denver Broncos with 26 tackles, Bradley Chubb has four tackles for loss and Kareem Jackson has three pass deflections.
The Jaguars are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 4-9-2 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Broncos are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 vs. AFC, 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Denver and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 19-6-1 in Broncos last 26 games overall. The under is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games overall.
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-4-1 ATS in their last nine games as a road underdog. The Denver Broncos are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite. The Broncos haven't covered a game as a home favorite since their 2017 October win over the Oakland Raiders. The Jaguars have had extra time to prepare for this game and could easily be 2-1 on the season in a wide open AFC South. The Broncos have yet to stop the free falling that an opening loss to Oakland started and the offense is averaging just 15.3 points. It's not easy to win in Denver and I expect the Broncos to play like a desperate team that needs a win here, however, you can make a case the Jaguars should be the favorites based on the way both teams have played through three games. I'll take a shot with the road team and the free field goal.