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Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 10/1/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) at Denver Broncos (2-1)
Date & Time Monday October 1, 2018, 8:15 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Denver Broncos +4.5 -- Over/Under: 55.5
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NFL | Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) at Denver Broncos (2-1)
Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos meet Monday in NFL action at Broncos Stadium at Mile High.

The Kansas City Chiefs look for their third road victory of the season to start a year 4-0 for the third time since 2013. The Kansas City Chiefs have split their last eight road games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 896 yards, 13 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Mahomes is averaging a touchdown pass every 7.1 pass attempts this season. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce have combined for 539 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Sammy Watkins has 14 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 103.3 yards per contest, and Kareem Hunt leads the way with 168 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 30.7 points and 474 yards per game. Anthony Hitchens leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 32 tackles, James Houston has two sacks and Ron Parker has one interception.

The Denver Broncos look for their third home win of the season to keep pace in the competitive AFC West. The Denver Broncos have split their last eight home games. Case Keenum is completing 61.1 percent of his passes for 743 yards, three touchdowns and five interceptions. Keenum has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last five games. Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas have combined for 413 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Courtland Sutton has five receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 144.7 yards per contest, and Phillip Lindsay leads the way with 198 yards on 33 carries. Defensively, Denver is allowing 23.3 points and 340.3 yards per game. Todd Davis leads the Denver Broncos with 21 tackles, Von Miller has four sacks and Justin Simmons has one interception.

The Chiefs are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Broncos are 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 Monday games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC West and 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Denver, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

The Kansas City Chiefs look like the most unstoppable team in the league three weeks into things, as they've scored at least 38 points in all three games. Mahomes looks like the MVP frontrunner and the production is sustainable with all the weapons he has. The Denver Broncos haven't scored 30 or more points since September 17 of last year, which means they've gone 17 straight regular season games without reaching that total. While the Broncos pass rush gives them a chance to hang around, the home team needs to score points to have a chance here. The Kansas City Chiefs have covered 10 of their last 17 games when favored by at least three points. The Denver Broncos have failed to cover each of their last eight games when an underdog of at least three points. I'm simply not trying to step in front of the Chiefs right now, as the chemistry and momentum is too strong. I'll eat the road chalk.

Kansas City Chiefs -4.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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